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Ethiopia’s population will grow by 10 million after five years, reaching 100,829,000, forecasts the Central Statistics Agency. The forecasted figure will hold if the current Total Fertility Rate (TFR) which is, 4.1 percent, continues within the stated time frame.
At the last population census that was conducted in 1999, the country’s population was 73.5 million and the current projection of CSA shows that the population will be 90,074,000 by the end of 2015 and has been growing by 16 million in the past ten years. Data shows that men make up 45.2 million of the total population while women are 44.8 million.
According to the projection, in the last five years, TFR has decreased from 4.8 percent to 4.1 percent while modern family planning service utilization has jumped from 27 percent to 40 percent.
In the current standing, Oromia region has the highest population with 33.7 million people, while Amhara region has 20.4 million, Southern Nations, Nationalities and People’s Region ( SNNP) has 18.3 million people, Somali region has 5.4 million, and Tigray region has 5.05 million inhabitants.
Harari Region still have the lowest population in the country with 232,000 people, though the population has grown significantly in the past seven years.
The projection also depicted Afar Region to be a 1.7 million people, Beneshangul Gumz one million, and Gambella home of 409,000 people.
The capital city, Addis Ababa has 3.3 million inhabitants of which females are dominant with a 1.7 million count while men make up 1.5 million.
Dire Dawa City Administration has 440,000 people, which the CSA forecasts to double after 20 years.
Ethiopia stands second in Africa as the most populated nation next to Nigeria.
CSA Vital Statics Vice Director Asalfew Abera stated that the projection study took one year to finalize, and it is an important milestone document showing the current and the coming 22 year’s population data.
“The major inputs that we used for these projections are Total Fertility Rate (TFR), Death Rate, Immigration and Family Planning service. The projection is not the actual data but it is a near estimation’’ he said.
He added that the agency is preparing to conduct the 4th census which will be taken after three years with the best technology support in an effort to minimize errors like double counting.