My Weblog: kutahya web tasarim umraniye elektrikci uskudar elektrikci umraniye elektrikci istanbul elektrikci satis egitimi cekmekoy elektrikci uskudar kornis montaj umraniye kornis montaj atasehir elektrikci beykoz elektrikci
Many political pundits and economic analysts forcefully argued that the Eurozone is not about “morality tales,” as is often stated. They stated that the term seeks to describe a German inclination to punish other nations for malfeasance. The German government is looking ahead. It is as interested as anyone to lay the groundwork now that the right structures are found for the future. They also stated that the Germans ultimately know that they will not see the Greek debt repaid. And they are doubtful about the ability of several other nations as well. For Germans, the key question about eventually agreeing to a debt write-off or a partial collateralization of outstanding debts, say, over the 60% or 90% of GDP is to what end? According to them the very real worry is that, even if such a painful step were to be implemented, the “game” will just begin from scratch. Nations are like human beings. They will not live up to their commitments, even on the basis of a “clean” balance sheet and an agreed upon macroeconomic framework.
The global political economy commentator, Stephan Richter on his excellent piece published on March 15, 20015 entitled “Germany’s France Problem” in “Politico” magazine stated that “as the Eurozone stumbles through another crisis, most of the media’s attention is on Angela Merkel, the leader of the continent’s greatest power, Germany. But the figure we should really be asking questions about is the man at her side, Wolfgang Schaeuble, who is the German finance minister and is widely considered the arch-champion of austerity”.
If this is the case, the questions which follows are, is Schaeuble a flame-thrower hell-bent on upbraiding not just Greece, but much of Europe, if not the entire world economy? Do the policies he advocates perhaps reflect personal bitterness, as some people somberly surmise? And just how much does Greece matter at this stage in the battle for Europe’s future?
Not really that much, in my humble opinion. And that’s what the new Greek government which is playing chicken with Germany, daring it to kick Greek out of the eurozone, needs to be told. What “Mr. Game Theory”, aka Greece’s new Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis, has never understood properly is that the battle is not about Greece or Europe’s South, for that matter. It’s about France.
That at least is the lesson from previous episodes when the concrete benefits resulting from strong moves toward European integration, such as a lowering of interest rates after the launch of the Euro, were effectively wasted in Greece and elsewhere after the turn of the millennium.
According to Stephan Richter, structural issues from overregulation to reliance on the “job-creating abilities of a bloated state sector were simply not addressed. Instead, the monetary benefits that were intended to “lubricate” the domestic transformation were just (ab)used to preserve the status quo. Wolfgang Schaeuble has seen all that from up close. And despite it all, he is a firm believer of offering help, provided the nations in question are making a serious effort to mend their ways.
However, the German finance minister is also an economic and political realist. While he can’t say so out loud, he know that at the core the struggle in Europe is about this: Does Europe consist of one economic culture that, while quite apart for the time being, ultimately moves toward each other? That was the perhaps heroic and definitely optimistic assumption when the Eurozone was launched.
What the Germans and the many nations, mostly in Europe’s north that think along similar lines are concerned about is that there are two distinct economic cultures. One is more consolidation-oriented, with functioning and effective public administrations. Popular will in those countries, even if begrudgingly, is prepared to make the necessary adjustments to be successful in the global economy.
The other set of countries does not have the same features and is almost constantly in crisis mode, whether they are inside the Eurozone or not. Their elites have basically decamped financially from their country and, to add insult to injury, have much of the political system at home under control. They and other vested interests close to the state sector form an unholy alliance to stand in the way of making sensible reforms.
As a result, it is not Greece, but the outcome of reforms in France that will ultimately decide about the need to fundamentally reconsider the future shape of Europe. Stephan Richter adamantly argued that Greece is but an opening gambit in a much larger battle. Assigning the required shift in economic and political thinking to a perverted love of austerity or, alternatively, to German “nationalism” is absurd.
Germany’s Social Democrats, largely following in the footsteps of their Northern European brethren, decided in 2003 to allow for far more flexibility in their labor markets than they had grown accustomed to. That was an expression of economic realism against the backdrop of rising competition in the global economy and by no means not an outgrowth of nationalism.
Finally, what the battle in the Eurozone boils down to is the proper understanding of “solidarity.” By the way, does solidarity mean to help those who got into trouble temporarily, due to some adverse circumstances, and who are asking their partners for some help while they are focused on fixing things at home? Or does “solidarity” mean that nations that are essentially unwilling and/or incapable of changing their underlying economic structures and political bargaining deals can preserve their political preferences even if they don’t have the funds or capital available to do so?
That is what key people from the Greek left to the French left believe some God-given “right” to be financially supported by others. They are in for a rude awakening. No nation is wealthy enough to engage in such a one-minded deal. It is the proverbial bottomless pit. And that is precisely where Germany draws the line. So do most other Northern European nations.