Monday, May 18, 2026

IMF forecasts tepid global growth; Ethiopia focuses on macroeconomic stability

By our staff reporter

Ethiopia continues to engage actively in addressing economic challenges amid a complex global environment marked by uncertainty, shifting trade dynamics, and the need for sustained reforms. According to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) 2025 Annual Report, Ethiopia, like many low-income countries, faces significant external pressures but remains focused on fostering macroeconomic stability and growth with IMF support.

The IMF report highlights the global economy’s tepid growth forecast of 2.8 percent for 2025 and 3.0 percent for 2026, pointing out challenges such as trade tensions, debt burdens, and the impacts of technological transformation including artificial intelligence. Low-income countries, Ethiopia among them, are implementing reforms to restore fiscal stability and enhance economic resilience despite harsh external shocks.

Ethiopia benefits from IMF capacity development efforts that strengthen crucial economic institutions including finance ministries, central banks, and revenue authorities. These efforts equip policymakers with tools to design effective policies aimed at improving public finance management, revenue mobilization, and financial sector stability.

The IMF has approved lending arrangements for Ethiopia under concessional frameworks, supporting the country’s endeavors for balance of payments stability and growth-friendly fiscal adjustments. Continued collaboration focuses on strengthening macroeconomic frameworks, expanding digital infrastructure, and improving regulatory environments to attract investment and boost productivity.

The report underscores the importance of Ethiopia’s structural reforms aimed at easing bureaucratic hurdles, increasing economic participation, and deepening capital markets. It calls for Ethiopia to maintain fiscal discipline while investing strategically in infrastructure and innovation to sustain growth momentum.

Ethiopian authorities are also encouraged to pursue international cooperation to secure a stable trade environment and facilitate debt restructuring to manage vulnerabilities amid uncertain global financial conditions.

As Ethiopia progresses on its economic reform path, IMF engagement remains strong through technical assistance, surveillance, and supportive lending facilities. These efforts are integral to Ethiopia’s quest to transform its economy, reduce poverty, and increase resilience to external shocks in a rapidly changing global landscape.

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