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Russia-China relations: Thirty years of ascending trajectory

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By Evgeny Terekhin and Chen Hai

This year marks the 30th anniversary of signing the Joint Russian-Chinese Declaration and the 25th anniversary of the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship, and Cooperation between the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China. These documents formed a foundation for an equal and trusting partnership between our countries in the 21st century and ensured its strategic character for decades to come.

Today, our interstate dialogue continues to be based on fundamental principles, foremost among them being peaceful coexistence, respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity, non-interference in each other’s internal affairs, equality, and mutually beneficial cooperation. We respect the right of every nation to choose its own social system and path of development, as well as to preserve its cultural and historical identity and traditional moral values.

As President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin has stated: “Today, Russia and China are friends not against anyone; we are not fighting anyone. We are fighting only for our interests and our development. We are ready to cooperate with all our partners throughout the world.” His words are corroborated by the assessment of the President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping, who noted that  “the stability and certainty of China-Russia relations are particularly valuable in a changing and turbulent international situation.””

The special nature of the Russian-Chinese partnership at the present stage was reaffirmed during the Russian leader’s visit to Beijing on 19–20 May 2026. The visit produced a substantial package of documents, including the Joint Statement on strengthening the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership and Strategic Cooperation and on Deepening Relations of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship, and Cooperation, as well as the Joint Declaration on multipolarity and a new model of international relations.

The success of our chosen course is demonstrated by the achievements in Russian-Chinese trade and economic cooperation, which has shown resilience and progress despite adverse external factors. For the third consecutive year, bilateral trade has exceeded $200 billion. This year, it reached a new record, rising by 26 % by August to $159 billion. This figure includes a 29.5 % increase in Chinese exports to Russia, which amounted to $73 billion, and a 24% increase in Russian exports to China, reaching $86 billion. Such a growth enables us to set new ambitious targets, including the achievement of the next milestone of $300 billion ahead of the previously established 2030 deadline. At the same time, significant progress has been made in shifting bilateral settlements to national currencies: in 2025, more than 90% of trade between Russia and China was conducted in roubles and yuan.

We will continue to develop joint projects in accordance with long-term strategic documents, above all the Plan to Promote the Key Elements of Russian-Chinese Economic Cooperation until 2030, across a broad range of established areas, including energy, industry, outer space, agriculture, transport and logistics. At the same time, new prospects are opening up for linking our respective national achievements in innovative fields such as information and communication technologies and artificial intelligence.

Cultural, sporting, youth and tourism exchanges are also expanding. The introduction of a visa-free regime has made a substantial contribution to the growth of professional and business contacts. The launch of the Cross Years of Russia-China Cooperation in Education will undoubtedly provide an additional impetus to inter-university cooperation and collaboration in the training of specialists in high-technology fields.

In addition to close interstate relations, Moscow and Beijing maintain similar positions on the majority of key issues on the international agenda. As permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, they successfully coordinate approaches and demonstrate a shared commitment to the purposes and principles of the UN Charter. We can state with confidence that, amid growing turbulence in world affairs – behind which stand a number of states unwilling to abandon the logic of neocolonial thinking and claiming to exceptionalism – it is precisely the Russian-Chinese partnership that continues to underpin the stability of the contemporary system of international relations.

Our countries have consciously rejected the transformation of their interstate cooperation into a bloc, which would inevitably lead to confrontation in the spirit of the Cold War with Western powers claiming the role of a global hegemon. To any impartial observer, it is clear that Russian-Chinese cooperation is not directed against third countries. This approach fully corresponds to global trends pointing to an evolutionary transition towards a polycentric world order.

In contrast to the militaristic attitudes of certain international actors, Russia and China are at the forefront of establishing new types of international organizations based on new mechanisms of global governance and the formation of a fairer architecture of international relations – one that takes into account the growing role and needs of the countries of the Global South. This applies above all to BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the G20.

Within the BRICS, our countries serve as political and institutional pillars of the grouping. Through the efforts of Russia and China, what initially functioned primarily as a “forum for dialogue” has evolved into an effective mechanism for implementing concrete initiatives – from settlements in national currencies, new payment systems and financial cooperation to joint research programs and technological projects. At the 2024 BRICS Summit in Kazan, Russia, as the chair, promoted three priorities: politics and security, economy and finance and humanitarian ties. China supplemented these priorities with cooperation in innovation, green energy, trade and logistics. The resulting synergy has enriched
the BRICS cooperation with new practical instruments, including centers for cooperation in special economic zones and industrial competencies. China will take over the BRICS presidency in 2027. Through the joint efforts of all member states, the BRICS mechanism will continue to grow and strengthen.

The accession, on 1 January 2024, of one of Africa’s key countries – Ethiopia – was an important milestone in the institutional strengthening of the BRICS. Russia and China consistently support Addis Ababa’s integration into their multilateral formats and key mechanisms, with a view to bringing political dialogue and economic and financial cooperation to a new level. We believe that Ethiopia’s participation in BRICS will help advance its most important priorities in such areas as trade and economic cooperation, infrastructure and agricultural development, environmental protection, energy, healthcare and others.

At the same time, Moscow and Beijing cannot but be concerned by the persistent attempts of certain global actors to pursue outdated policies aimed at expanding military and political blocs, thereby undermining strategic stability in the Asia-Pacific region and throughout the world. Moscow and Beijing advocate strengthening equal and indivisible security, adherence to the principles of mutual respect, and rejection of policies based on coercion and pressure.

Russia and China have every reason to hold this position. Our peoples possess a strong historical memory, shaped in large part by the enormous sacrifices they made during the Second World War. We will commemorate its end 81st anniversary on September 3. The Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression was an important part of the World Anti-Fascist War. With huge national sacrifice, the Chinese people made major contributions to saving human civilization and safeguarding world peace. After bringing the Great Patriotic War to an end in Berlin and before it had even recovered from the devastation inflicted upon it, the Soviet Union immediately rendered assistance to the fraternal Chinese people by committing all available forces to the defeat of Japan’s Kwantung Army.

The Russian and Chinese peoples continue to preserve in their hearts the memory of the tens of millions of Soviet and Chinese citizens who were killed and tortured by German Nazis and Japanese militarists. Their sacrifice, however, was not in vain. They paid for the freedom of our countries with their blood, and we remember them with gratitude.

It is also well known that hundreds of thousands of Ethiopian citizens lost their lives during the treacherous Italian invasion of 1935–1941. Some fell on the battlefields with weapons in their hands; others perished in concentration camps or as a result of punitive operations, hunger and deprivation. Yet, like the Soviet and Chinese peoples, the Ethiopian people were not broken. They emerged from that terrible war victorious – the first people to free themselves from the yoke of fascist occupation – once again defending their sovereignty and statehood, just as they had done half a century earlier at the Battle of Adwa.

The common contribution of our peoples to victory over global evil during the Second World War made possible the creation of a new world order and the United Nations, which for 80 years have helped to prevent the outbreak of a new global catastrophe – one which flames could consume all humanity. That is why we unswervingly uphold the postwar international order and the authority of international law, unite the Global South, and steer the reform of the global governance system in the right direction.. We can withstand these efforts only through joint action.

The experience accumulated by Russia and China convincingly demonstrates that, while pursuing their respective sovereign national interests, our countries continue to be united by the ideas of good-neighbourliness and friendship, underpinned by consistently developing and mutually beneficial political, trade and economic cooperation and a shared vision of a multipolar world order. This community of views enables our peoples to look confidently towards the future.

Evgeny Terekhin is ambassador of the Russian Federation and Chen Hai is the ambassador of People’s Republic of China to the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia

New Brazilian Trade Office in Addis Ababa Targets Agribusiness, Green Energy, and Tech Transfer

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The Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency (ApexBrasil) has officially inaugurated its first permanent office in Addis Ababa. The launch coincides with the conclusion of ApexBrasil’s comprehensive Southern Africa trade mission—running from August 26 to September 2—underscoring Brazil’s strategic commitment to expanding its institutional footprint on the African continent and leveraging the BRICS platform to foster tangible trade and investment opportunities.

This milestone stems from high-level diplomatic exchanges, building on agreements forged during Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s official visit to Brazil and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s historic trip to Ethiopia in February 2024.

Ambassador Meles Alem, Director General for European and American Affairs at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, emphasized that the new office will elevate bilateral commercial ties to unprecedented levels. Both nations continue to use the BRICS platform as a vital catalyst for South-South cooperation, focusing on knowledge transfer, innovation, and mutual growth.

Brazilian Ambassador to Ethiopia Jandir Ferreira dos Santos noted that the office creates a permanent platform for Brazilian companies to navigate the local market, identify regional partners, and access vital market intelligence. This builds on the February 2026 Ethiopia-Brazil Economic Cooperation Forum, co-hosted by ApexBrasil and the Ethiopian Investment Commission, which yielded over 300 business-to-business matchmaking sessions and a strategic Memorandum of Understanding.

The Addis Ababa branch will prioritize several high-growth industries, including agribusiness value addition, industrial manufacturing, green energy, logistics, and technology transfer.

The opening follows Ethiopia’s April 2026 regulatory authorization permitting a broad range of Brazilian animal products—such as beef, pork, poultry, and dairy—alongside specialized agricultural inputs like animal genetics.

Despite these collaborative strides, bilateral trade remains in its developmental stages. Brazilian exports to Ethiopia totaled roughly $31 million in 2025, with petroleum oils making up 97.4 percent of shipments. However, with Ethiopia’s total imports reaching approximately $8.9 billion in 2024, officials see vast room for diversification. ApexBrasil has already identified 59 distinct export opportunities for Brazilian enterprises in Ethiopia, spanning construction materials, chemical products, and sugarcane ethanol operations.

Conversely, the local office will also assist Ethiopian investors and business leaders looking to access Latin America’s largest market. This commercial expansion occurs against a backdrop of strong macroeconomic forecasts, with Ethiopia’s economy projected to expand at an average of 8.3 percent annually from 2026 through 2030, driven by ongoing internal reforms and foreign investment.

Following its official entry into the BRICS bloc in January 2024, Ethiopia continues to deepen its integration into multilateral financial architectures. Demonstrating this rising momentum, the Ethiopian Council of Ministers unanimously approved a draft proclamation in June 2026 for the country to join the Shanghai-headquartered New Development Bank (NDB), further solidifying a shared commitment to sustainable economic transformation, multilateral cooperation, and long-term mutual prosperity across the Global South.

Ethiopia to launch first nationwide blood lead study

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Ethiopia is preparing to launch its first nationwide blood lead level study in the coming Ethiopian New Year, a move expected to provide the country’s first comprehensive picture of lead exposure and its public-health consequences.

The survey will be conducted by the Ministry of Health and the Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI) in partnership with Vital Strategies and the CDC Foundation. It will focus on children aged six to 59 months and women aged 15 to 49, two groups considered particularly vulnerable to lead exposure.

Dr. Masresha Tessema, Director of the Nutrition, Environmental Health and Non-communicable Disease Research Directorate at EPHI, said the study will systematically assess the prevalence, geographic distribution and likely sources of elevated blood lead levels.
“Until now, Ethiopia has not had a nationwide assessment capable of showing the full extent of exposure,” he said. Approximately 35% to 36% of Ethiopian children under the age of five have elevated blood lead levels exceeding 5 ug/dL.

Exposure is estimated to cost children under five an average of 5.8 IQ points and is associated with more than 13,500 deaths annually, according to figures cited by health experts. The economic burden is estimated at around 1.3 trillion birr, or approximately $8 billion, each year.

Lead can enter the body through contaminated air, water, soil and consumer products. Key suspected sources in Ethiopia include lead-acid battery recycling, smelting activities, industrial pollution, contaminated food products, paints, cookware, cosmetics and toys.
Because lead poisoning often produces no immediate symptoms, many affected people do not know they have been exposed. Blood testing is considered the most reliable means of confirming exposure.

The study will also support efforts to strengthen laboratory and surveillance capacity. Under the Bloomberg Philanthropies Lead Poisoning Prevention Initiative, Vital Strategies is assisting Ethiopia with pilot sample collection, laboratory analysis, data reporting and standardized testing equipment.

Officials say the findings will help guide prevention measures, identify high-risk communities and support policies aimed at reducing environmental lead contamination.

Addis Ababa exposes widespread tax evasion at vehicle hubs

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The Addis Ababa City Administration Revenue Bureau has uncovered widespread tax evasion and significant revenue leakage across vehicle trading hubs throughout the capital. The discovery follows a comprehensive investigation that revealed deep-seated compliance failures regarding annual tax obligations within the city’s vehicle trade and brokerage sectors.

The findings emerged as part of a broader regulatory enforcement that initially saw the bureau issue strict warnings to vehicle commission and brokerage operators. Traders engaged in these activities were ordered to clear all vehicles stored on their compound premises—a practice the administration noted violated established legal boundaries regarding authorized sales locations.

On August 20, 2026, the tax bureau formalized its stance by issuing a definitive directive stating that only legally registered vehicle trading and importing businesses are permitted to carry out sales from their authorized commercial premises, as previously reported by Capital.

The issue gained central prominence during the closing session of the city administration’s five-year plan and fiscal year evaluation on September 1, 2026. Addressing municipal officials and stakeholders, Addis Ababa Mayor Adanech Abiebie highlighted the severity of the findings. “Our study on how annual income and value-added taxes are evaded across vehicle trading centers in the city has exposed numerous irregularities,” Mayor Adanech stated.

She emphasized that while many citizens diligently pay taxes commensurate with their labor, others unlawfully enrich themselves by neglecting legal obligations—an unfair disparity the administration refuses to tolerate.

This crackdown is a critical component of the city’s newly overhauled revenue reform framework, which seeks to transition away from traditional collection methods and dramatically build institutional capacity. City officials noted that extensive assessments have been conducted to tap into high-potential economic sectors outside conventional revenue streams, deploying careful and methodical procedures to meet ambitious financial targets.

The administration has repeatedly warned that it will take strict, uncompromising measures against uncollected public resources. Future control mechanisms will focus intensely on eliminating revenue distortions, plugging financial leaks, and curbing resource wastage across the commercial landscape.

While the Addis Ababa City Administration had previously planned to generate a record 502 billion birr for the 2026/27 fiscal year, Mayor Adanech revealed that recent comprehensive studies indicate the city possesses an untapped revenue potential reaching up to 1.5 trillion birr.

The administration stressed that this aggressive revenue collection campaign will be implemented without imposing any tax rate increases on compliant, existing taxpayers. Instead, the strategic focus rests entirely on closing massive regulatory gaps, widening the tax net, and vigorously controlling illegal tax evasion across all commercial sectors.

As part of the evolving regulatory framework, vehicle trading hubs that were initially ordered to clear their compounds were permitted to resume operations starting August 30, 2026, under a revised directive from the Revenue Bureau.

Traders operating within these sales hubs noted that while their business spaces have officially reopened, strict operational boundaries remain in place. They are explicitly prohibited from holding and selling zero-mile vehicles on an individual basis through commissions or profit margins, or conducting such sales directly within their compounds—privileges now reserved exclusively for authorized importers.

However, traders have been cleared to operate as commission agents for individual used vehicles or purchase and resell cars directly, provided strict compliance is maintained. Business owners acknowledged to Capital that the primary objective of the new regulatory decisions is to ensure commercial operations align transparently with the city’s enhanced tax collection targets.

In the previous 2025/26 fiscal year, the Addis Ababa City Administration collected 351 billion birr from taxes and various internal revenue sources, successfully meeting its target of 350 billion birr. For the current 2026/27 fiscal year, the Addis Ababa Revenue Bureau has set out to generate a total of 502.27 billion birr, of which 380 billion birr is planned to be mobilized directly from tax revenues.