Sunday, April 5, 2026

Hide and seek economics in Ethiopia’s dead capital and the need for collateral rights for smallholders

By Gizachew Wolde

Ethiopia’s land tenure system has evolved from imperial gult and rist privileges to the 1975 nationalization by the Derg and the state ownership model established in the 1995 Constitution. Designed to prevent elite exploitation and ensure equitable access, this rigid framework—rooted in socialist ideology—has rendered the nation’s primary asset as “dead capital.” This situation stifles private investment, agricultural commercialization, and urban development, as smallholders cannot use land as collateral for loans due to investor fears of revocation. Consequently, underground “hide-and-seek” transactions, such as house swaps, have emerged as substitutes for a suppressed land market, allowing individuals to evade taxes while still capturing real value from amenities and locations.

There is an urgent need to examine these historical dynamics that create barriers to growth and to advocate for flexible, hybrid policies that can harness private energy alongside state oversight, fueling Ethiopia’s economic transformation.

Historically, Ethiopia’s imperial land systems align with accounts of limited and regionally varied private ownership. The gult and rist systems dominated, with urban exceptions being marginally transferable. Gult granted nobles administrative, judicial, and tax collection rights over lands, often as imperial rewards. Holders extracted tributes from tenants (gabar or gabbers), who had no ownership and faced exploitation, particularly during southern expansions. Rist, more common in the north, involved communal family-held land that was inheritable within descent groups, providing security against eviction but prohibiting sale.

Private freehold ownership was narrowly available in urban centers like Addis Ababa and some peripheral towns, as well as in southern areas post-conquest where rist and gult evolved into sellable rights by the mid-20th century. However, such ownership was rare, covering under 10% of land, as emperors retained ultimate control over grants and revocations.

Southern peasants suffered the most, as northern settlers became gult holders over conquered lands, turning locals into tribute-paying tenants amid poverty and unrest, which fueled demands for reform in the 1960s. While northern rist offered relative equity, it still tied users to kin-based verification.

The emperor’s control over land can be viewed as state ownership, benefiting only the royal family and nobility rather than the nation. The Derg’s 1975 reforms nationalized all land to eliminate private ownership and tenancy, aiming to benefit peasant tillers directly—a principle enshrined in Article 40 of the 1995 Constitution, which vests land publicly in “the state and the people” for equitable national benefit. However, these reforms failed to grant private property holders the right to sell or use land as collateral. Instead, backdoor deals emerged under the guise of house sales or loan procedures.

Thus, the Derg’s 1975 land nationalization—intended to end “exploitative” private ownership—effectively sidelined private developers and enterprises, impeding Ethiopia’s economic growth potential despite its revolutionary intent. Modern development worldwide relies on private sector involvement, highlighting the flaws of a rigid state monopoly that has largely blocked private participation as legal economic actors.

The Derg-era socialist policies completely prohibit private ownership to prevent elite concentration, with the state administering rural free, inheritable use rights and urban leases—intended as public welfare tools rather than profit centers. This framework remains largely unchanged due to the lingering socialist ideology, which resists private engagement despite economic pressures for minor regional certifications, such as in Amhara and Oromia, which add security but ban sales or mortgages.

The fundamental flaw of a socialist-inspired landownership model—where the state owns all land and restricts private ownership—renders it incompatible with a modern bankloan collateral system, where land is the primary asset backing credit.

In today’s context, private land has emerged as a catalyst for economic growth, transforming from a politically controlled asset into a dynamic economic resource that appreciates in value and significantly contributes to national development. Private ownership and market-driven development enhance land value. For instance, when individuals sell their homes, even in a state-controlled environment, they are not merely selling the house; they are also selling the land, which is often accompanied by attractive infrastructure. Two houses of the same size may differ greatly in value due to disparities in surrounding infrastructure. So, what influences the change in a house’s value?

Moreover, not all development is driven by the government. Private entities build essential infrastructure and services around any given piece of land, including hospitals, clinics, schools, universities, supermarkets, hypermarkets, and local shops, all of which contribute to increasing land value. These private investments create a network of services and amenities that elevate the market value of the land well beyond the basic public utilities—such as water, electricity, and roads—that the government typically provides.

However, attracting private investors for large-scale infrastructure projects, such as electricity, water, and road construction, remains a challenge. These projects require substantial investment and take a long time to yield returns, representing high-risk areas for investors, especially in politically unstable sub-Saharan countries. In such contexts, public-private partnerships (PPPs) can be a viable option to mitigate risks for private investors.

Many economists, development practitioners, and political figures believe that Ethiopia’s current land tenure system, in which land is constitutionally owned by the state and private ownership is not permitted, poses structural barriers to rapid economic transformation. Treating land as a politically locked asset under state control not only deters significant private investment but also prevents the generation of wealth that could be unlocked through market-driven economic mechanisms, as this approach is rooted in a socialist-oriented policy.

Ethiopia is currently exploring a shift towards public-private partnerships (PPPs) and partial privatization of state monopolies in sectors like telecommunications and banking to attract private capital for large-scale national development. If executed thoughtfully, this strategy could encourage private investors to engage in major infrastructure and service projects critical for long-term growth. The Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, with over 70 years of experience, has begun to adapt by learning from the rapid growth of private banks and is opening competitive branches in various locations. This growth in the banking sector illustrates the dynamism necessary to facilitate private sector participation.

The 1995 Ethiopian Constitution, drafted by the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF), establishes state ownership of land. Article 40 states that “land is a common property of the Nations, Nationalities and Peoples of Ethiopia and shall not be subject to sale or exchange.” While this approach has merits, such as preventing the emergence of a land ruling class that could exploit the peasantry, it also ensures that all citizens have access to land for housing and farming, both in rural and urban areas. Additionally, it allows the state to allocate land for large-scale investments, such as commercial agriculture, industry, and infrastructure, without the complications associated with private land markets.

Holding private ownership “out of the playfield” hinders growth momentum. This supports the argument that property rights are essential for modern capitalist development. Currently, land cannot be used as collateral for bank loans. For millions of smallholder farmers and urban dwellers, this means their primary asset becomes “dead capital.” They are unable to leverage this asset to access credit for purchasing improved seeds or machinery, which could modernize their labor-intensive farming methods, and to start businesses.

Ethiopia’s state-controlled land system significantly obstructs the transition from subsistence to commercial agriculture in rural areas. Additionally, investor concerns about the potential revocation of land rights perpetuate socialist legacies. While investors can secure long-term leases (often 40 to 99 years), the lack of full ownership rights for smallholders deters long-term, capital-intensive improvements. Farmers’ inability to use their land as collateral prevents them from obtaining loans for seeds, machinery, or irrigation necessary for commercialization, resulting in 80% of holdings under 2 hectares producing subsistence yields far below their potential. Investors remain cautious, fearing that land use rights could be revoked or reallocated by the state, which leads to a preference for short-term extraction over sustainable, long-term development. This hesitation is often attributed to the lingering effects of socialist policies.

One potential solution is to implement a system of transferable land rights that grants collateral rights. This would enable farmers to use their land as collateral, increasing access to credit and facilitating investment in productivity-enhancing technologies. Additionally, introducing a hybrid model that combines state ownership with long-term, renewable private agreements could provide investors with greater security, encouraging capital-intensive investments while maintaining state oversight.

Governments could also establish microfinance programs specifically designed for small-scale farmers, offering accessible credit options. Furthermore, providing training and resources on sustainable farming practices and market access would empower farmers to boost their productivity and income. Implementing subsidies for essential inputs like seeds and fertilizers could further support their transition to more commercialized agriculture.

The influence of socialist legacies on agricultural policies maintains state control over land, limiting individual ownership and stifling entrepreneurial initiatives. This centralized approach discourages private investment and innovation, as farmers and investors are apprehensive about the government’s potential to reallocate resources without adequate compensation. Consequently, these policies result in a lack of incentives for farmers to enhance productivity, ultimately hindering the agricultural sector’s growth and modernization.

Ethiopia’s land tenure system, rooted in state ownership since the 1975 revolution, restricts private investment in agriculture by limiting farmers’ ability to use land as collateral for loans or transfer it freely. Granting full private ownership could unlock access to credit, enabling investments in improved seeds, irrigation, and machinery, thereby increasing yields and facilitating the shift from subsistence to commercial production. This reform could also attract domestic and foreign investors, encouraging the consolidation of small plots into viable commercial farms and driving broader economic growth. The key to development lies not in holding land for subsistence farming but in creating mechanisms for adding value to it, alongside the ability to secure loans for transformation. If the government can seek loans from international organizations for significant infrastructure improvements, why shouldn’t individuals have the same opportunity to enhance their sectors?

Land prices vary significantly by location, even for identical houses on equivalent plots sold by the government and the private sector. This discrepancy arises because market forces often override formal rules in practice. Buyers are willing to pay premiums for desirable areas based on perceived value stemming from accessibility, amenities, and future potential, creating de facto differentials despite state ownership.

Individuals who have the opportunity to win a three-bedroom condominium burdened with debt often sell their houses to those willing to settle for new homes in less costly areas with one or two bedrooms, thereby freeing themselves from loans. However, this situation resembles a hide-and-seek game, where many are playing behind the scenes. To address this, a policy shift in our land and housing framework is essential to eliminate this game.

Policies should be flexible rather than rigid, adapting to the evolving economic market and environmental conditions. Homeowners should not be compelled to play hide-and-seek with the government to exchange the true value of their land. Continuous updates to policies are necessary to create benefit packages that allow individuals and private sectors to operate as responsible citizens, rather than being constrained by outdated rules.

A flexible land policy is crucial to unlock the value-added potential trapped in house-exchange transactions. Crafting such a policy can help avoid the “hide and seek” game surrounding land exchanges, particularly when there are opportunities for value addition in the land market. When formal land markets are obstructed, value-seeking behavior does not vanish; it simply shifts underground or into alternative transactions (such as “house exchanges”) that act as proxies for capturing land value. This “hide-and-seek” dynamic is a direct result of rigid, socialist-inspired tenure systems that push people to evade taxes.

The participants in this scenario include not only private sectors but also many government officials who may exploit their power for personal gain. Thus, a dynamic policy shift could streamline processes and mitigate the negative impact of rigid rules that stifle investment and growth.

Ethiopia’s land tenure system exemplifies how well-intentioned rigidity can lead to adverse outcomes. Originating from the 1975 Derg nationalization and continued under the 1995 Constitution’s state-ownership model (Article 40), this framework aimed to prevent elite exploitation and ensure equitable access. In practice, however, it has rendered the nation’s most vital asset—land—into “dead capital.” Smallholders are unable to use land as collateral for loans; investors still fear arbitrary revocations, and urban residents, unable to legally transfer land value, resort to underground “house swaps” that act as proxies for a suppressed market, evade taxes, and capture real value through back channels. We cannot overlook this pressing need; it is essential to reevaluate policies for better options.

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