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Gadaa Bank S.C. launches public offering of one million shares to accelerate digital growth

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Gadaa Bank S.C. has officially launched a public offering of one million ordinary shares. To facilitate the transaction, the bank has partnered with some of the country’s leading investment firms. The subscription period opened on June 30, 2026, and will remain open until September 27, 2026.

Following regulatory clearance from the Ethiopian Capital Market Authority (ECMA), the launch was formally announced in a joint statement by Gadaa Bank CEO Wolde Bulto and Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX) CEO Tilahun Esmael. To streamline the transaction, Gadaa Bank has collaborated with a syndicate of licensed brokerage firms, including Gadaa Securities Dealer, CBE Capital, Awash Capital and Wegagen Capital Investment Bank.

The shares are priced at 1,050 birr per unit. The pricing strategy is designed to ensure affordability, broaden equity ownership and expand the bank’s base of retail investors. The offering also reinforces Gadaa Bank’s role as a pioneer in Ethiopia’s emerging capital markets. The bank was among the first financial institutions to join the ESX and had previously listed 1.23 million ordinary shares with a par value of 1,000 birr each.

The capital injection is intended to support Gadaa Bank’s next phase of growth, with a particular focus on expanding its digital banking infrastructure. The issuance follows a strong fiscal year, during which the bank recorded pre-tax profit of more than 1 billion birr, a 113 percent increase from the previous year, bringing total assets to 16.5 billion birr.

By the end of the fiscal year, customer deposits had reached 12.6 billion birr, up 64 percent year-on-year. The bank currently operates a nationwide network of 110 branches, including 10 new outlets opened during the period. It has also completed the feasibility study and architectural designs for its planned headquarters, which has now moved to the tender stage.

The public offering reflects the broader development of Ethiopia’s capital market ecosystem, which has gained momentum following the launch of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange in 2025. These reforms, introduced as part of wider economic restructuring, aim to mobilize long-term capital, broaden financing options beyond traditional bank lending and attract both domestic and foreign investors.

Under Capital Market Proclamation No. 1248/2021, the ECMA has continued to license investment banks and market intermediaries, laying the groundwork for the ESX’s growth. The exchange first gained traction through its money market segment, where interbank transactions have surpassed one trillion birr since launch. The main equity market currently lists several major institutions, including Wegagen Bank, Gadaa Bank, Ethio Telecom, Awash Bank and Abay Bank.

Ethiopia must broaden its export base

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Ethiopia’s record export earnings in 2025/26 should be welcomed, but they also expose a familiar weakness: the country still depends too heavily on gold and coffee for foreign exchange. When two commodities account for nearly four-fifths of export earnings, the economy remains vulnerable to price swings, supply shocks, and policy changes beyond its control.

The headline numbers are impressive. Export revenue crossed 11 billion dollars, well above the government’s target of 9.8 billion dollars and sharply higher than last year’s 8.3 billion dollars. Gold alone brought in nearly 5.5 billion dollars, while coffee earned 3.1 billion dollars. Together, they generated 8.6 billion dollars, or 78.2 percent of total export earnings. That is not diversification; it is concentration.

This matters because a narrow export base can create a false sense of strength. A good year in gold or coffee can lift foreign exchange inflows, but it does not necessarily build a resilient economy. If global prices fall, production slows, or demand softens, the country’s earnings can deteriorate quickly. That is a risky position for any economy, especially one that needs steady foreign exchange to finance imports, stabilize prices, and support industrial growth.

The problem is not that gold and coffee are unimportant. They are, and they should remain central to the export mix. Gold has become a major source of hard currency, and coffee remains one of Ethiopia’s strongest global brands. The problem is that success in these sectors has not been matched by equally strong growth in manufacturing, agro-processing, horticulture, livestock, tourism, or high-value services. Ethiopia is earning more, but not yet broadly enough.

A more diversified export basket would do more than reduce risk. It would create jobs, expand tax revenue, improve regional balance, and build more durable growth. Raw commodity exports usually generate limited local value addition. By contrast, processed goods, branded agricultural products, and service exports can retain more income at home and support deeper industrial development. In practical terms, that means moving from simply shipping out raw materials to earning foreign exchange from transformed, higher-value products.

The government has repeatedly said export diversification is a strategic priority. That is encouraging, but strategy alone is not enough. The country needs a more forceful implementation agenda. First, there must be stronger support for agro-processing industries that can turn sesame, oilseeds, pulses, fruits, and vegetables into export-ready products. Second, exporters need better logistics, storage, and transport systems so that perishable and semi-processed goods can reach markets reliably. Third, financing must be more accessible for firms outside the traditional commodity sectors, especially small and medium-sized exporters.

Policy consistency is equally important. Businesses will not invest in new export sectors if rules change too often or if foreign exchange access remains unpredictable. A credible diversification plan requires clear incentives, transparent regulation, and better coordination across customs, transport, agriculture, trade, and finance authorities. Exporters also need technical support to meet international standards, packaging requirements, and certification rules. Without that, promising sectors will continue to underperform.

There is also a role for regional trade. Ethiopia should do more to tap into African markets under the African Continental Free Trade Area. Many non-traditional exports, especially manufactured goods and processed food products, can find buyers closer to home if trade barriers are reduced and logistics improve. Regional trade may not generate the same prestige as gold, but it can create more stable demand and help companies scale.

Tourism and services deserve more attention too. Ethiopia has a strong cultural and historical profile, major natural assets, and a national airline with continental reach. These are export earners in their own right, even if they do not show up in the same way as merchandise trade. A serious foreign exchange strategy should treat services as part of the export conversation, not as an afterthought.

The biggest lesson from this year’s export performance is simple: strong numbers are not the same as strong structure. Ethiopia has made striking gains in gold and coffee, but a two-commodity export model is still too fragile for the demands of a large and fast-changing economy. The next phase of progress should not be measured only by how much gold is sold or how much coffee is shipped. It should be measured by how many more sectors contribute meaningfully to foreign exchange, employment, and industrial upgrading.

If Ethiopia wants lasting economic stability, it must turn export growth into export diversity. That means using the momentum from gold and coffee as a launchpad, not a ceiling.

The great rural land mirage

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Is the National Dialogue bold enough to excavate the truth of the rural land nightmare, or will it settle for the hollow safety of narrow lines?

Since the contentious question of whether land should be transferred to private ownership or remain under state control was placed on the Ethiopian National Dialogue Commission’s agenda, it has ignited a wildfire of controversy. As I observe the landscape, society remains deeply concerned, caught in a relentless cycle of suspicion, hope and fear as it debates this issue.

On one hand, advocates of state ownership continue to assert, as they have for decades, that privatizing rural land risks relegating peasants to a form of serfdom reminiscent of the feudal era. They fear that a wealthy elite will aggressively buy and take over peasant landholdings, leaving rural populations destitute and unemployed, and thereby violating the rights of various ethnic groups and social segments. Proponents of this view insist that farmers lack the necessary knowledge of property rights and that, if permitted to sell land, they would blindly squander it and revert to servitude.

However, many scholars now reject this view. They argue that the idea that farmers cannot handle private property is a condescending trap. It wrongly assumes that farmers are not smart enough to manage their own businesses or make good decisions for their families. In reality, these experts point out that when farmers are given the legal freedom to control their own land, they have proven to be excellent managers of their own resources.

Conversely, free-market advocates argue that building a modern agricultural economy requires removing land from rigid state control and allowing it to be bought and sold like any other asset. They say it is highly insincere for the government to aggressively liberalize services, foreign exchange, banking and insurance while simultaneously keeping rural land, the most critical tool of agricultural production, locked away from market mechanisms.

Others interpret this shift as a calculated political move. The Prosperity Party is eager to distance itself from the EPRDF’s rigid dogma, which famously vowed that land would remain under state control at all costs.

Meanwhile, some observers contend that Ethiopia’s agricultural economy is more complex. They argue that the country’s urgent aspiration to join the World Trade Organization, along with pressure from international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF, is a key motivator. This perspective holds that the slow growth of the agricultural economy is often attributed to the lack of rural land as a tradable private asset, which hinders investment and development in the sector.

Yet, from my own experience, this “untouchable” agenda extends far beyond these macroeconomic and political clashes. Having spent many years working on agricultural projects and programs across the Amhara region, I have witnessed firsthand how land issues are deeply intertwined with the fundamental dignity of human beings.

The harsh reality is that for the past 30 years, following the fall of the Derg regime, rural farmers have faced significant barriers to accessing reliable capital, which is essential for modernizing agriculture and procuring necessary farm inputs. Many experts note that the government’s strict rural land policy has effectively prevented farmers from leveraging their most stable asset as collateral for vital loans. This policy, grounded in the principle that land is public property and cannot be sold or traded, has hindered their ability to secure the financial support needed for growth and development.

After the fall of the Derg regime, private financial institutions were finally given the opportunity to venture into rural areas. However, they quickly stepped back, refusing to extend loans because peasant land could not be used as collateral under the law and because there was little clarity about what would happen if a farmer defaulted. At the time, this was a shocking development that caused the government great anxiety.

To plug this financial gap, the government initiated rural credit associations, which later evolved into microfinance institutions such as the Amhara Credit and Saving Cooperative. These associations were capitalized through regional endowment funds derived from annual budget allocations to districts, essentially using public development funds as collateral for lenders.

Inevitably, this fragile process collapsed into a severe crisis as many farmers became unable to repay their loans. The government’s draconian response was to force rural development workers, agricultural staff and local community leaders to coerce farmers into repayment, even by seizing movable assets or, failing that, imprisoning them. It is a dark and disturbing irony that this unusual approach dragged not only development and agricultural workers, but also courts, which were supposed to act independently, into actions they did not want to take.

The bitter truth is this: in any part of the world, property is meant to liberate human labor from the crushing burden of debt. Imprisoning a person for failing to repay a loan is not only unjust but also a disgraceful and undignified practice. International standards, including the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, generally prohibit imprisonment for failure to fulfill a contractual debt obligation. When a system does this, it violates human dignity.

As the situation escalated, government-backed lending institutions introduced the group lending model, copied from Bangladesh without carefully examining its social consequences. Global experience, particularly from Bangladesh and elsewhere, clearly warns that such models, when imposed without land security, can trigger catastrophic social outcomes. This model required farmers to form credit groups, with each member serving as a guarantor. If one member defaulted, the others were obligated to cover the debt.

The social consequences were devastating. This burden often forced guarantors to seize the land of the defaulting farmer as compensation, leading to an involuntary and hidden process of land transfer. This exploitative cycle intensified the marginalization of poor peasants. Those who could no longer meet debt obligations were forced into poverty, becoming laborers for wealthier farmers or migrating to urban areas. While initial land distributions averaged 0.5 hectares per household, this systemic failure allowed holdings to expand to 5, 10 or 15 hectares for a few, often those celebrated as “model farmers” but who were, in reality, beneficiaries of the illegal consolidation of poor farmers’ land.

This system has deeply damaged professional integrity, forcing agricultural experts to act as debt collectors and jailers rather than mentors. Very recently, the state has rolled out comprehensive land use and administrative proclamations and land use right certificate schemes. While these are positive steps, the land issue is not merely a dry economic matter; it is a struggle to free farmers from the cruel, regressive practices inherited from an era of debt bondage.

My burning question is this: will the upcoming national dialogue take this systemic nightmare into account and hold a comprehensive discussion, or will it be tragically reduced to a narrow, paralyzing debate about ethnic rights?

Canton Fair capitalizes on China’s new zero-tariff policy for 53 African nations

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The 140th session of the China Import and Export Fair, globally known as the Canton Fair, has launched a promotional campaign at the African Union (AU) Headquarters in Addis Ababa. Marking a milestone in its 70-year history, this is the first time the trade exhibition has been promoted at a regional international organization. The event aligns with the African Union’s Agenda 2063 and seeks to deepen cooperation between Chinese innovation and Africa’s economic development.

The 140th session comes at a pivotal moment in China-Africa relations, as it takes advantage of China’s newly implemented zero-tariff policy for 53 African nations with diplomatic ties.

This tariff exemption, which took effect earlier this year, has injected fresh momentum into bilateral trade. By removing trade barriers, the policy turns the Canton Fair from a traditional buying platform into a gateway for African countries seeking to expand exports and access the large Chinese consumer market.

The promotion conference brought together diplomats, policymakers and industry leaders to outline a new blueprint for Global South cooperation. Co-hosted by the China Foreign Trade Centre, the AU Commission, the Mission of China to the African Union and the Embassy of China in Ethiopia, the gathering highlighted trade as a stabilizing force in an uncertain global economy. Speakers said the zero-tariff framework marks a shift from simple resource trade to deeper, higher-value industrial integration.

During the event, keynote speakers said the Canton Fair is well positioned to make the most of the tariff advantages by offering solutions tailored to Africa’s development needs. With more than 1.55 million square meters of exhibition space and over 30,000 participating enterprises, the October 2026 fair is designed to support Africa’s industrial modernization. By linking duty-free access with advanced Chinese technology, the fair aims to create a stronger ecosystem for trade and investment.

Addressing the conference, Zhu Yong, director general of the China Foreign Trade Centre, outlined the fair’s vision around three themes: working together, sharing green and smart opportunities, and creating new cooperation models. Over the past decade, the fair has attracted more than 204,000 African buyers, while nearly 20 percent of participating enterprises have moved toward an integrated trade and investment model, creating more than 200,000 local jobs across the continent.

The 140th session will be held in three phases to match Africa’s economic priorities. Phase 1 will focus on advanced manufacturing, including new energy vehicles, industrial automation, solar photovoltaics and service robots, offering equipment for Africa’s green transition. Phase 2 will feature home products and building materials to support urbanization, while Phase 3 will showcase smart medical care, textiles and agricultural modernization equipment.

To improve efficiency under the zero-tariff regime, the Canton Fair is also introducing digital upgrades for global buyers. Visitors will benefit from an improved mobile app with booth-level navigation, year-round remote badge issuance at airports and an AI system that can automatically generate meeting notes during business discussions.

Representing the private sector, Zhang Huarong, chairman of the Huajian Group and vice president of the China Chamber of Commerce to Africa, highlighted the success of the Huajian International Light Industry City in Ethiopia. Zhang presented a new “China Manufacturing · Ethiopia Global E-commerce Development” blueprint designed to combine traditional manufacturing with digital commerce.

The plan calls for importing raw materials under the low-tariff policy and locally manufacturing higher-value products such as solar photovoltaics and aluminum profiles for global markets. It also includes training multilingual cross-border live-streaming teams to take advantage of time-zone differences for 24-hour e-commerce activity, creating a two-way trade corridor between China and Africa.

Supporting this vision, Minister Counsellor Lyu Ruihao of the Mission of China to the AU, along with diplomatic envoys and representatives from the UN Economic Commission for Africa, reaffirmed their support for building a resilient China-Africa community with a shared future. By linking China’s 15th Five-Year Plan with the AU’s Agenda 2063, the 140th Canton Fair aims to turn tariff exemptions into long-term gains and help drive Africa’s industrial growth toward greater self-reliance.