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Advancing Africa’s Economic Sovereignty: The Case for a Common Currency

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In the vast and diverse continent of Africa, one glaring obstacle hampers economic progress and hinders true sovereignty: the absence of a common currency. While many regions of the world have embraced regional currencies to facilitate trade and foster economic integration, Africa remains fragmented, reliant on foreign currencies such as the US dollar or the euro for international transactions. This dependency not only undermines Africa’s economic autonomy but also perpetuates a cycle of unequal trade relations and vulnerability to external shocks.

It is high time for African leaders to reignite the conversation on establishing a common currency that can unlock the continent’s economic potential and pave the way for greater self-reliance. The current reliance on foreign currencies not only complicates trade but also exposes African economies to the whims of global financial markets, leaving them vulnerable to fluctuations beyond their control. Moreover, the use of external currencies incurs unnecessary transaction costs and inhibits the development of robust domestic financial markets.

The vision of a common African currency is not a new one. In the past, African leaders have recognized the need for greater economic integration and attempted to establish regional monetary unions. However, these efforts have often been fraught with challenges and met with limited success. The tragic fate of leaders like Muammar Gaddafi, who advocated for a pan-African currency backed by gold, serves as a stark reminder of the political and geopolitical complexities surrounding such initiatives.

But despite past setbacks, the imperative for a common African currency remains as strong as ever. By unifying their currencies, African countries can streamline trade, reduce transaction costs, and foster greater economic cooperation within the continent. A common currency would also enhance Africa’s bargaining power on the global stage, enabling it to negotiate trade deals from a position of strength and assert its economic sovereignty.

Of course, the path to establishing a common African currency will not be easy, and challenges abound. Differences in economic structures, fiscal policies, and levels of development among African nations pose significant hurdles to integration. Moreover, concerns about national sovereignty and loss of control over monetary policy may deter some countries from fully embracing the idea.

However, these challenges should not deter African leaders from pursuing this ambitious goal. Instead, they should view the establishment of a common currency as a long-term strategic objective that requires patience, cooperation, and visionary leadership. Building consensus among African nations, addressing concerns about sovereignty, and fostering economic convergence through targeted policies and reforms are essential steps towards realizing this vision.

Africa stands at a critical juncture in its quest for economic emancipation and self-determination. The adoption of a common currency represents a bold and visionary step towards realizing the continent’s full potential and asserting its rightful place in the global economy. It is time for African leaders to set aside their differences, seize the opportunity for unity, and pave the way for a future where Africa’s currency is a symbol of its economic sovereignty and collective strength.

Single currency for East Africa: 7 things you need to know

 

A single African currency for East Africa is targeted to be instituted by the African Central Bank by 2028 to create an ‘economic and monetary union’.

By Timur Boranbayev

This comes as part of the Abuja Treaty in 1991 that was signed by all member states (except Eritrea) and which established the African economic community, intending to create a ‘harmonisation of policies’ for a more ‘connective’ community.

  1. What is the African Union?

The African Union, previously known as the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), was created in 1963 in response to the ending of colonialism. The purpose of this e organisation was to promote cooperation between the newly independent states on social and security issues.

In 2002, the African Union (AU) was officially founded which replaced the previous OAU, which is closely modelled on the EU. It seeks to encourage pan-African peace, security, and economic cooperation among its 55 members. The heads of all governments meet every year at an assembly and a commission implements AU policies such as foreign and economic development.

2. What are the main currencies in Africa?

As of right now, all 55 member states use their own currencies (respectively) such as Nigerian Naira, Kenya Shilling, Zambia Kwacha, South Africa Rand, Libya Dinar, Zimbabwe Dollar, etc. However, there are exceptions, as there are some countries using more than one currency. For example, the CFA Franc is used in eight Western African countries (such as Senegal, Mali, and Ivory Coast) and six Central African countries (such as Cameroon, Gabon, and Chad).

In 2023, the most valuable currency in Africa is the Tunisian Dinar (TND) with a dollar conversion rate of 3.07 Dinars.

3. When and why was the idea of a single currency for Africa suggested?

The idea has been debated since the establishment of the OAU as it could potentially promote economic integration and increase cooperation between member states.

The Abuja Treaty had called for a single African currency to be instituted by the African Central Bank by 2028. In 2009, the leader of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi, a known advocate for the African Union suggested for the continent to switch to a new currency, independent of the American Dollar – ‘the gold dinar’.

Alongside this, he called for “one Africa” proposing a single military force and for Africans to only need one passport to move across the entire continent.

This would have allowed for even greater integration and promoted cooperation between member states. The idea of a single currency for Africa has always been planned to occur especially since the success of the Euro in the European Union.

4. How will it impact African firms and consumers?

For firms, the incentive is to maximise profits. A single currency will be a significant improvement because of the increase in price transparency and the elimination of exchange rate uncertainty. Price transparency enables firms to cut their costs of production as they can find the cheapest options much more easily.

The main issue when it comes to exchange rates is that firms are never too sure which way it will move – it could be in their favour or vice-versa. As a result, this hinders trade (especially for smaller firms) and by having one single currency, it abolishes this uncertainty and thus promotes goods traded within the region – which will increase goods sold and therefore profits.

Due to higher profits from an increase in more goods sold, firms will invest their earnings to boost the productive capacity. This could be achieved by expanding their spare capacity and educating/training workers.

For consumers, their incentive is to maximise their utility (satisfaction). Similarly with firms, they are also highly benefited because it eliminates the costs of converting currencies and is easier for price comparisons.

By getting rid of currency conversion, it allows consumers to save money as the cost of converting is removed. In addition, it is easier for tourists as the comparison between exchange rates is removed and it better encourages travel across countries.

5. How will it impact African governments?

For the government, their aim is to achieve and maintain the macroeconomic objectives – economic growth, greater equality of Income, low unemployment, low and stable inflation, protection of the environment, balanced government budget and equilibrium balance of payments.

A single currency would make the African zone a more attractive region for non-African Union countries to do business with. As a result of higher attraction, this will drive investment and trade.

In general, both components positively impact the economy as Aggregate Demand (the total goods and services produced in an economy) increases. This is because investment and trade exports are components of AD – meaning that if one increases, AD increases. This will cause economic growth and will, in turn, affect other objectives:

  • Unemployment will fall as firms will require more workers – an increase in the production of goods/services occurs when consumption increases. For firms to meet the increased demand of consumers, they must expand their spare capacity in the form of increasing their land, labour, and capital.
  • Living standards will improve as more unemployed people will receive an income (increasing equality of income).
  • Government budget will be in surplus, this occurs when the government receives more taxation and spends less – the government will receive an increase in taxes due to more people receiving an income and less government spending on welfare payments (benefits).
  • The current account to be in a surplus – the country will be exporting more goods than importing trading between countries increases. It is important to note that the demand for imported goods will increase as the level of consumption increases due to economic growth and therefore may lead the country to be in a current account deficit.

However, the issue with economic growth is that it would create demand-pull inflation. This is bad for the economy because it would lead to issues such as:

  • Unemployment – results in a fall in (material) standard of living as cost of living increases, as households decrease their consumption of goods/services.
  • Appreciation of the exchange rate – the increase in value of a currency will result in the current account deficit as the value of imports will be cheaper than exports and thus more goods will be imported than exported.

6. Are there any other organisations/continents that already use a single currency?

Yes, the most notable example of a single currency being used is the Euro in the European Union (EU). It first took place in January 1999 and two years later the currency was fully converted to notes and coins for member states to use in their economies. It is seen as a huge success since the Euro is seen as the second most important currency in the world, after the US Dollar. As of 2023, there are 20 EU countries that use the Euro such as Germany, Spain, and Italy.

7. What is Eco and the ECOWAS?

Both East and West Africa are trying to launch their own currency. The Economic Community of West African States Commission (ECOWAS), which is a regional group of 15 countries, wants to launch the Eco, its regional currency, by 2027.

The establishment of the Eco will contribute its primary aim – to promote economic integration, this includes all fields of economic activity such as transport, natural resources, and energy. The formation of one currency will allow member states to increase the value of their exports due to greater integration, therefore the current account will run on a surplus as more goods will be exported than imported.

But both regions have been pushing back its launch dates, citing various reasons but most notably the COVID-19 pandemic. The EAC also had an initial launch scheduled for 2024. But now, it says the date is too soon, considering that member states have not attained all requirements.

Tour to Afar Region

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I follow up on my article of last week, in which I described my experiences during a recent trip to an Asian country, and shared my assumption that visitors to Ethiopia may have similar experiences. Just last week we decided to book a trip we have wanted to make for a long time, namely to Erta Ale and the Danakil Depression in the Afar region. We called up a tour agent who was recommended to us by a friend. He advised us that the month of March is a good time to visit as the temperatures in March are relatively cooler than during the rest of the year. So, we wasted no more time a booked the trip straight away. It was to take three days and two nights, starting from Semera airport. We thus also had to buy an airplane ticket from Ethiopian Airlines, departing at 07.10 am, to arrive an hour later at Semera.

On arrival at Semera we were greeted by the tour agent and two tour guides who would drive us around and take care of us the next few days. With us were two more European couples and we were first taken to a nearby hotel for breakfast while the drivers and a cook went to town to buy the necessary supplies. During breakfast we had the opportunity to introduce ourselves to the rest of the group and around 10.30 am all was ready for departure, with the group divided over two Landcruisers, including the drivers and the cook.

As I mentioned last week, getting to know the person you will fully depend upon over the next few days, goes with a bit of apprehension, as you observe his driving style and test his communication skills.

I admit I got a bit nervous with the driving during the first part of the journey on the Semera – Mekelle road, while the vehicle also had some obvious wheel balancing and alignment issues.

We stopped over for lunch in Afdera, where some of the challenges we were going to meet during the tour began to manifest themselves, namely the heat and the lack of sanitary facilities. Lunch was great though and we moved on to Erta Ale, over a road under construction by the Federal Road Authority. The construction seemed to have been aborted though, so there were many bumpy detours. However, my confidence in our driver was growing as it was obvious he knew the route well and fully mastered his vehicle. We also talked a lot on the way, including with the cook, who had joined us, and we began to develop a pleasant rapport with each other.

Before proceeding to the Erta Ale campsite, we had to make a final detour to make a payment to the local community against an official receipt. Every tour to the volcano must make such payment, which is supposed to support the community but also for the community to manage and maintain the campsite. Hopeful, we proceeded to the campsite, as our excitement grew as we got closer to the volcano and saw smoke plumes rising over the top. Our hearts sank as we arrived at the campsite. While our tour guides worked hard to make our open-air beds ready, we discovered there were no sanitary facilities at all. While there were some structures meant as toilet, they were totally dysfunctional and in a mess. There was also nothing that looked like a structure that could be used as a changing- or washroom. We were left with no option but to make use of the open fields, ladies and gentlemen alike. This did not seem right after the generous fee just paid to the community. Meanwhile coffee, tea and a snack were served by the cook, from a makeshift kitchen, which was a welcome energizer before getting ready to hike to the rim of the volcano. What we experienced and saw there beats all imagination. The powerful blasting and spit firing cones, causing fresh lava to descend, was so impressive, we all could just be still and take it all in under a bright starry sky. In one word, spectacular! Our tour guide then led us safely back over the rocky terrain through the night, back to our campsite where the cook had another surprise in store as he welcomed us with a delicious full three course dinner! We slept under the open sky, catching the occasional shooting star until daybreak when the cook surprised us again with a full and delicious breakfast. We were all amazed with what he produced out of his makeshift kitchen.

After breakfast, off to the Danakil Depression. It was a long rocky ride, but we got there at the end of the afternoon to admire the spectacle of the hot water springs, bursting with so many minerals that cause the most amazing colour displays. On the way back we took a bath in salt water, making us float as we dipped into the warm clear water and witnessed the sun set over the white salt desert surface. Arriving at our new campsite, along the main road, the cook had another full dinner ready. However, here there were also no sanitary facilities at all and we had to find our moments anywhere in the neighbourhood, like the night before, except that this time we were in the middle of a kind of residential area. There was one structure at a school across the road that looked like a latrine but again, it was totally out of order.

And so, we made it through the night, had another early delicious breakfast before embarking on the long journey back to Semera to catch the flight back to Addis Abeba. On the way our tour guides had another surprise in store, and we had a swim in the salty Lake Afrera, completed with a wash off in warm freshwater springs.

We finally made it back to Semera, well in time for a final stop and a farewell drink, before checking in at the airport. I note here that although I normally check in online with Ethiopian Airlines, my experience is that it in fact makes no difference. It has happened more often that not, with international and domestic flights, that I must join the same queue as everybody else to check in my luggage. Baggage drop-off does not seem to work with Ethiopian Airlines, except perhaps at Bole International Airport.     

We bid our tour guides and cook farewell with a deep appreciation for the services they gave us. They really looked after our wellbeing and safety and did it seemingly with pleasure, helping each other in a true team spirit. Mind you, it is not an easy job, to provide such services under such challenging circumstances and I salute them for their professionalism.

On the flipside of the coin there remains the disappointing infrastructure, tourists and visitors must deal with. Surely, this country has so much to offer for the international visitor. Why a community, that benefits financially from tourism, does not make any effort to create a clean and comfortable campsite and environment, completely beats me, and I would suggest authorities responsible for tourism to seriously look into this.        

P.S. Readers interested in the contact details of our tour guide, may contact me by email.

Ton Haverkort

ton.haverkort@gmail.com

Questioning multilateralism: International organizations failure to address global pressures

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By Eden Tafesework

The world is currently passing through a period where multilateral engagements (with states of the world but also global institutions) is being challenged. This can clearly be observed in regional and sub-regional institutions with operations in different areas. In this sense, the Western interpretation of multilateralism (G. John Ikenberry) is that liberal internationalism is “captured” in a cluster of five conditions; openness in terms of trade and exchange; commitment to a rules-based set of relations; some form of security co-operation; the idea that power politics can be ‘tamed’ by building stable relations in pursuit of mutual gains; and finally, that liberal internationalism will foster the spread of liberal democracy’’.

The global system now faces major challenges in political, economic and, social spheres. The underlying factors contributing for this may be multiple such as major power revelries like the Russia and Ukraine altercation, national conflicts that have long ranging consequences like the Ethiopian civil war, and also the socio-economic consequences of COVID 19 pandemic, can pass as major contributors. In this respect, this period may have put the global institutions established with the view to easing such tensions, like the UN & EU, to question in light of the ineffective implementation of setout objectives. Because the decisions made by these institutions over time have been influenced by political interests, they could be pressured to prioritize specific interests.

The same worry goes when looking at sub-regional institutions like the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and Eastern African Community, Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA). This is to be seen especially when considering the responding to ongoing tensions and conflicts that may have wider implications. Even though, such institutions are instrumental in flag-shipping issues of concern before concerned global parties, the politicization of their efforts has made their roles to be obsolete. Additionally, the minimum political will vested to them, especially relevant to sub-regional organizations – can threaten the institution from passing concrete decisions. 

This is notwithstanding the appreciable role played by such global institutions in several spheres of specialization. Whether in facilitating the economic recovery of states, in reliving the debt burden of country’s with debt burdens, or facilitating lending possibilities to those states with foreign currency shortages, the global structures erected have had positive outcomes for the most part. Nonetheless, as their very establishment is propounded by big powers with strong economic backup, they have played mixed roles besides their objectives.

For the countries passing through periods of political instability (Sudan, Ethiopia, Niger, Gabon, Guinea, Bissau), rather than being used as instruments of stability and order, they have for the most part been used instruments of support to one side over the other. This has been most pronounced in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Because developing countries in the global South are recipients of aid, they are not willing to forsake their long-term needs, in terms of commodities, trade ties, economic support packages.

For Ethiopia, the three year conflict with the Tigrayan Liberation Front (TPLF), also passed through several phases in which Western influence through multilateral institutions the country ascribes to were most prevalent. In this respect, the pressures threatened, were somehow successful when considering the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement (CoHA) or Pretoria Agreement, signed on November 2, 2022 where both sides agreed to silence-the-guns with the view to solving their disputes through political means.

Since then, the country is in the process of its post-conflict recovery, in which attention is being devoted to its economic recovery, disarmament, reintegration, demobilization. In this regard, even though the process needs to be seen through slowly and with due caution, the utmost need of its economic recovery must be prioritized due to the country’s default on its missed debt coupon payment that nears $33m on its Eurobond.

 However, as of January 1, 2024, the country was able to join a multilateral organization of emerging and developing economies, BRICS, following the multilateral platform’s decision in August 2023 summit in South Africa. This accession may instill an optimistic opportunity for the country to hasten its immediate economic recovery. Although the country’s effective accession took place. Right before the new year, the US-based rating agency Fitch marked the country down to “restricted default” after the country failed to pay a Eurobond redemption installment.

Currently Ethiopia is in the process of negotiating an aid package with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to boost the country’s ailing economy. The decision of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and, South Africa) – a group of major emerging economies to accept Ethiopia, in tandem with, Argentina, Egypt,  Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, as a new member came as a surprise for many. This was due to expectation by analysts that Africa’s largest economies, Nigeria and Algeria, the largest African country by area, would get the nod. Nonetheless, other factors must have played a more decisive role such as Ethiopia vital geopolitical point of view owing to its large population, its economy that has the potential to grow strongly in the future

Even though the specifics of the economic integration is yet to be seen, the expectation is, as pin pointed by Ethiopian Ministry of Foreign Affairs that “its membership recognizes the rich multi-lateral contribution of Ethiopia to promote international peace, security, and prosperity and the continued commitment and leadership of Ethiopia to South-South cooperation.”

You can reach the writer via edentafesework@gmail.com

Global Enterprises and Social Initiatives

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Alazar Kebede

In the existing globalized economy, big business enterprises are operating in a number of countries beyond their own. Some of these global business enterprises, apart their normal business operations, they won the respect and recognition of the communities in countries they are operating due to their undertakings of a number of social initiatives aimed social advancement and poverty reduction. Coca Cola, Microsoft and GAP are some of the cases in point here.

On the other hand, there are a number of global business enterprises which are well known for their notoriety in disregarding the social and cultural values of the communities in their areas of operations. The global energy giant, Shell can be sited as an example of such global business enterprises in the oil rich Niger-Delta region of Nigeria. 

The motivation and commitment of corporations to the goals of poverty reduction and economic and social advancement has been the subject of much debate and analysis. Some of today’s leading practitioners of corporate social engagement, especially among firms in the extractive industries, have historically been closer to the lagging rather than leading edge of enlightened behavior.

Several firms in the apparel industry and retail trade have been hit with harsh publicity about labor practices of subcontractors. Thus, in many cases, the concerns exhibited by global businesses to improve social conditions results from the need to restore a tarnished image or make amends for previous behaviors. The depth of business commitment to social progress also has been questioned. Many social activists question whether corporations are interested only in the public relations benefits of their social programs. 

Based on the evidence gathered, it is possible to conclude that the range of activities, motivations, and commitments on the part of global business is very broad. The most forward looking companies have established policies and made commitments that permeate the corporation from the Board and CEO levels on down to the very lowest stratum of the company. Others have yet to understand fully the business case for corporate social engagement and have not embraced such policies. 

Further, even those companies that strive most to achieve the highest standards of corporate engagement can fall short on occasion. Although social activities are voluntary on the part of business, governments of the advanced economies have taken steps to encourage and promote such activities. For example, most governments allow a tax deduction or credit for charitable donations. Governments also use various forms of public advocacy and moral suasion to promote good corporate engagement. 

The broadest effort to influence the conduct of global enterprises is encompassed in the OECD Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises. These guidelines are recommendations of appropriate business conduct by global enterprises. Another important multilateral, and tripartite (government/business/labor), effort is the set of voluntary guidelines and commitments of the International Labor Organization’s Tripartite Declaration of Principles Concerning Multinational Enterprises and Social Policy, known as the MNE Declaration. 

The question of whether a private, commercial enterprise should engage in socially beneficial programs must be answered by each business itself. But the large number of businesses that answer that question affirmatively verifies that sufficient business reasons exist. Motivations run the gamut from proactive brand identification with social causes to strictly defensive measures to ensure against negative publicity and consequent lost sales. In some instances, especially when they find themselves in conflict situations, businesses may feel they have no choice but to play a positive role in supporting social stability and better governance. 

Not all global businesses, of course, are inspired to implement policies or programs that respond to local conditions. Circumstances differ among developing countries and various lines of business. Some firms have a narrower and, in some view, shortsighted perspective based strictly on the exploitation of local resources. In addition, smaller firms may be less able than larger firms to afford social programs, or, at least, their programs will be smaller. There are some reasons which have motivated global businesses to become more socially engaged.

One of them is enlightened self-interest. Perhaps the simplest and strongest explanation for why firms go beyond narrow-gauged market activities is because it is right and serves the longer-term interests of the society, which in turn benefits the longer-term interests of the business by creating a more stable environment, good will, and brand identity. Many business leaders cite humanitarian motives for social activities, and these are clearly important. But businesses are unlikely to be motivated solely or consistently by altruistic appeals. They are neither charitable nor government institutions, and they should not be expected to act as if they were. Nevertheless, businesses prefer to operate in more stable political and economic environments. 

Positive brand identification or goodwill is another reason. Some firms undertake social initiatives to enhance their brand image. Some act to defend their brand against negative publicity while some have built their brand based on identification with social causes. The value of its brand can be a significant asset to a firm since strong brands have the power to lift sales and earnings. Consumers in developing countries represent a fast growing segment of many markets. Positive brand recognition based on identifications with social engagement can be important in building consumer loyalty in those markets. In addition, goodwill can have a direct payback as local governments may examine the totality of their relationships with a company when making regulatory or licensing decisions.

Labor markets-at home and abroad is also part of the reasons. Tight labor markets for skilled workers in developing economies lead firms to improve local labor conditions. In many cases businesses are investing in the education and training of their workforce to improve its quality and productivity or to improve other aspects of the work environment. The AIDS programs of Volkswagen in Brazil and Daimler-Chrysler in South Africa provide good examples of how a firm can help itself by addressing a social problem. These programs focus on prevention of HIV/AIDS and care of those stricken by the virus. Both companies have found that it is far more profitable to educate and treat their employees than to recruit and train new ones. 

Profitability is also one of the reasons. Numerous studies have linked corporate social activities to better business performance as measured by profitability or return on equity, and evidence of a narrowly defined “business case” for social engagement, although weak in some dimensions, is clearly positive. 

Global companies make practical business decisions to invest in, buy from, and sell to developing countries. Those activities promote economic growth and poverty reduction. Decisions to invest in corporate social policies and programs are no less practical or business-based. They are valuable both to the business and to the recipient nation. 

On close examination, many firms will find that when they invest in initiatives that help the host country, they, in turn, benefit because their commercial success is directly affected by local economic and social conditions. Although businesses should neither be expected to perform the functions of government nor mandated to perform non-commercial social activities, significant room remains for global businesses to voluntarily engage in a number of social initiatives which can help the economic advancement and poverty reduction of the communities in the area of their business operations.