Thursday, October 9, 2025
Home Blog Page 3031

Expert panel outlines bold vision for economic, technological advancements in Ethiopia

0

New report denotes plan to make Sub-Saharan nation a pioneer in Africa by 2050

An independent panel of Ethiopian and Ethiopian-origin experts with diverse professional backgrounds and deep expertise across fields as varied as economics, public health, statistics, education, population dynamics, technology, and urban planning released a new report outlining strategies to transform the Ethiopian economy by the year 2050.

The Blue Ribbon Panel (BRP), established in December 2019 during the Ethiopia2050 Grand Challenges and Opportunities Conference held in Addis Ababa, aims to capitalize on opportunities provided by the unprecedented demographic transformation population dynamics to deliver economic prosperity, food security, transportation infrastructure, and gender equity to the Ethiopian people.  The Ethiopia2050 International Steering Committee launched the BRP to write a report summarizing the conference findings.

The BRP, chaired by Dr. Debrework Zewdie, distinguished scholar and visiting professor at the City University of New York, has published its first report and submitted it to the government. Focusing on the projected exponential population growth over the next 30 years, the 11 Ethiopian and Ethiopian-origin BRP members and 45 other experts in their own fields outline what Ethiopia must do to proactively address 10 major challenges and opportunities associated with the expected historical demographic shift.

With population dynamics as the central issue, the report focuses on actions policymakers can take now with broad support from the public. Highlighting issues such as rapid urbanization, the water-food-health-energy nexus, economic growth, transportation and rural development, institutional and civic development, and gender equality the experts advocate for forward-looking solutions, funding mechanisms and a detailed implementation plan. The report complements the government’s Ten Year Plan with the aim of becoming a middle-income country in the near future and a leader in Africa.

Engineer Tesfaye Workineh Co-Chair of the Ethiopia2050 Steering Committee said “when we started the Ethiopia2050 Initiative, our main goal was to create a forum for technical experts to contribute to Ethiopia’s development in their own fields. We could not be happier with this report, which addresses critical issues and offers solutions.”

“It was a privilege to lead a group of like-minded experts whose singular aim is to bring attention to the projected doubling of the population by 2050 and instead capitalize on the opportunity for development by taking action now. While action taken now, as laid out in the report, will ensure Ethiopia’s development to a middle-income country, non-action or delay will create a huge challenge and a lost opportunity,” said Dr. Debrework Zewdie, Chair of the Blue Ribbon Panel. She added, “we hope the report will inform and inspire the initiatives of all stakeholders, including the government of Ethiopia, all political parties, the private sector, as well as non-governmental organizations, and development partners. We consider this document to be a living document that will continue to inspire conversations and help generate ideas thus setting the stage for improving the chances of even newer ideas, strategies and recommendations.”

“The BRP rests upon a collective vision that is part of the broader Ethiopia2050 Initiative and focuses on actions that policymakers can take with broad support from the public. We are deeply grateful to all the experts who gave their time and unconditional support to make this report happen,” added Professor Samuel Kinde, Co-Chair of the Ethiopia2050 Steering Committee and Secretary to the BRP.

First quarter fiscal year update and capacity building plans

New regulation that targets the improvement of skilled labour in the financial institutions is expected to be tabled for the Council of Ministers.

The capital market proclamation that was drafted by the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) is now at the Federal Attorney General.

The regulation that NBE has drafted is aiming to improve the growing demand and production of quality personnel in the financial industry, which is massively expanding because of different law changes.

Recently, the government has allowed the diaspora to invest in the financial sector besides opening up the sector to interest free banking as an independent business.

Information indicates that about 20 new banks are under formation. This will make the sector actors double.

Experts in the sector expressed their fear that the booming of the banking industry will have effect on access to professionals and that banks will be engaged in competitions to get experts with an attractive benefits package. This in return would affect the new coming businesses.

Besides improving the expertise in the sector, experts recommended that NBE should consider to easing its strict laws on the appointment of executive managements at banks.

“There are huge potentials at senior management level  for young but dynamic bank professionals to lead  the banks, while the central bank laws mainly focused on service period, which is difficult to fulfill for this young professionals,” experts told Capital.

The academy that will be established in the new scheme at Akaki facility will seek to provide a solution for the sector access to professionals. The regulation that is expected to be approved by the Council of Minister will be a go ahead to trainee experts in the banking, insurance; capital market and others related businesses.

Regarding the formation of the capital market, NBE has stated that it has concluded the draft of the proclamation that it sent to the Federal Attorney General for revision.

“Currently we are in repeated discussions with the Federal Attorney General on the draft proclamation that is expected to be sent to Parliament in this budget year,” Yinager Dessie, Governor of NBE said.

“We expected that the entity that will manage the capital market will be established in this budget year,” he added.

The formation of a secondary market is one of the strategies that NBE has set to implement in the economic reform.

Mid this week, Yinager has met with media to share the operation of NBE in the first three months of 2020/21 fiscal year. Such kind of meeting was not regular in the past rather the central bank published quarterly bulletins that evaluated the overall economic activity of country and its operation.

Yinager said that in the first quarter, the reserve money has increased by 5.7 percent that grew by 6 percent in the last quarter of the past budget year.

He said that the central bank has set to keep the reserve money increment to less than 12 percent.

Reserve money was 222.7 billion birr at the end of the third quarter of 2019/20, showing 25.3 percent a year-on-year and 13.0 percent quarterly growth.

In the first quarter of the fiscal year, the central bank has auctioned 33.46 billion birr that shall be an instrument to collect the money from the market which will prove useful to the government for different purposes. The T bill which commenced with new and open arrangements last December has become a more attractive potential participant to the likes of financial institutions and other investors.

In the first quarter, the central government has not taken any loan from central bank rather it has used the resource secured from T bill.

Borrowing from NBE is stated as money print that shall inflate the market since it is not self-generated from itself. Mostly the government uses loans from the central bank to fill its budget deficit. For the year, according to Yinager, the central government is expected to get 16 billion birr loan from NBE which was 30 billion birr in comparison to the last fiscal year.

Average lending interest is 14.3 percent and the savings deposit interest rate remained at 8 percent in average.

The value of birr has dropped in the first quarter of the fiscal year against major hard currencies, while the Governor did not give figures.

In the first quarter, the commodity export generated USD 832 million that increased by 15 percent compared with the same period of last year

Gold export that took the lion’s share has contributed USD 200 million in the stated period.

In this period the trade deficit stood at USD 2.6 billion in comparison to a similar period last year which was USD 3 billion.

105 billion in new saving has been accounted for this year which is six times compared with the same period of last year. According to Yinager different directives like cash withdrawal limit that was issued by NBE has contributed for the deposit mobilization.

In the past one plus months, 1.2 million new account holders came to the bank because of the currency change.

37 billion birr from new and existing bank account holders has been collected following the introduction of demonization introduced mid-September.

Yinager said that in relation with demonization besides expanding saving and liquidity at banks, it has also reduced the parallel market.

55 billion birr in fresh loans has been disbursed in the stated period of which the private sector share was 85 percent.

Since the new leadership came to power, the issue of access to finance for the private sector has received attention and the private sector has become a major beneficiary compared to public institutions.

According to Yinager, the liquidity challenges that were observed in the last fiscal year at banks for now has eased.

The credit information bureau at NBE has mobilized the information of borrowers from banks and microfinance institutions.

Over three million borrowers’ information mainly from banks has been included on the bureau database and further registration of borrowers’ information mainly from microfinance institutions has continued.

Because of COVID 19 the general assembly of financial firms may be undertaken on revised directive that NBE issued for the period.

Previously a shareholder shall represent only 10 votes of others but on the revised law a shareholder shall have open proxy as per the power of attorney she or he gets from others via either at authentication office or on the system at their banks.

Ethiopian who works in international organizations whose earnings are in foreign currency will be allowed to have saving accounts in foreign currency.

The government is also working to encourage the saving of the diplomatic communities. The government has conducted different studies to encourage this initiative. One of the incentives will be the interest rate that they will get when they save the foreign currency.

Yinager said that special case shall be seen for those who are unable to go with the time frame for the currency change.

According to Yinager, depositors insurance fund regulation is under the draft stage to be tabled for the Council of Ministers. “The regulation will give security for depositors if financial firms face challenges,” he said.

‘Retention and utilization of export earnings and inward remittance directive no. FXD/48/2017’ has been amended by FXD/66/2020 that gives more room for exporters to use the foreign currency by imported unrelated sectors they are engaged in.

The directive stated that exporters of goods and services as well as recipients of inward remittance are entitled to utilize the balance in foreign exchange retention account ‘A’, which is 30 percent of the total earning, only for import of priority import items like pharmaceuticals and pharmaceutical product, agricultural inputs machineries, chemicals, manufacturing input, machineries and equipments, motor oil, lubricant, import of nutritious food for babies, edible oil, wheat and sugar.

Exporters and other hard currency generating bodies have a right to use 30 percent of the earnings of account balances for an indefinite period of time and the 70 percent for up to 28 days. Meanwhile the accounts shall be used to finance direct business related and currency payments, based on the 2017 directive which has now been opened for 30 percent retention to use for the import of unrelated businesses.

The amendment has been appreciated by experts since it encourages the export earnings, while some others like industrialists, who claimed that their business is significantly damaged because of the lack of hard currency to import raw material, criticized it because exporters who imported other materials like industrial inputs sale the raw material at high prices making production cost to be high. This in turn leads to inflation and incompetently finished goods.

The industrialists that Capital talked to, express that rather than allowing exporters to use the stated percentage of hard currency portion for the import of unrelated business the government should address the industry sector, which are engaged on import substitutions.

Global foreign direct investment flows fell 49%

0

Global foreign direct investment (FDI) flows fell 49% in the first half of 2020 compared to 2019, due to the economic fallout from COVID-19, reveals UNCTAD’s latest Global Investment Trends Monitor released on 27 October.

In the wake of the pandemic, lockdowns around the world slowed existing investment projects and the prospects of a deep recession led multinational enterprises to reassess new projects.

“The FDI decline is more drastic than we expected, particularly in developed economies. Developing economies weathered the storm relatively better for the first half of the year,” said James Zhan, UNCTAD’s investment and enterprise director. “The outlook remains highly uncertain.”

According to the report, developed economies saw the biggest fall, with FDI reaching an estimated $98 billion in the six-month period – a decline of 75% compared to 2019.

The trend was exacerbated by sharply negative inflows in European economies, mainly in the Netherlands and Switzerland. FDI flows to North America fell by 56% to $68 billion.

Meanwhile, the 16% decrease in FDI flows to developing economies was less than expected, due mainly to resilient investment in China. Flows decreased by just 12% in Asia but were 28% lower than in 2019 in Africa and 25% lower in Latin America and the Caribbean.

In the six months to June 2020, developing countries in Asia accounted for more than half of global FDI. Flows to economies in transition were down 81% due to a strong decline in the Russian Federation.

The decline cut across all major forms of FDI, the report shows.

The report shows that cross-border M&A values reached $319 billion in the first three quarters of 2020. The 21% decline in developed countries, which account for about 80% of global transactions, was checked by the continuation of M&A activity in digital industries.

The value of greenfield investment project announcements – an indicator of future FDI trends – was $358 billion in the first eight months of 2020. Developing economies saw a much bigger fall (-49%) than developed economies (-17%), reflecting their more limited capacity to roll out economic support packages.

The number of announced cross-border project finance deals declined by 25%, with the biggest drops in the third quarter of 2020, suggesting that the slide is still accelerating.

How Communication Service Providers are bringing inclusion and growth to Africa’s financial landscape

0

Mobile financial services are a global game-changer with an open money network being the connection needed between the financial industry and telecom to increase both the commercial and social benefits.

As the world grapples with an unprecedented crisis in the form of the COVID-19 pandemic, consumers are cautious to use cash or making a withdrawal from an ATM and agent network .

This has given mobile money a new dimension as customers can make payment anywhere at any time with their mobile devices as easy as sending a text message in geographies that are normally unable to benefit from banking structures. This allows customers to seamlessly purchase products or services without having to physically handover cash or swipe a card. The freedom to send, spend and receive money with a mobile phone is quickly becoming an essential part of life for billions of people.

Originally available in a few selected markets, mobile money is now a global phenomenon, recording astonishing growth in emerging markets and reaching a broad range of customers. Mobile money is currently present in 95 countries with 290 deployments worldwide. GSMA reported only 50 million new accounts registered in Sub-Saharan African its 2019 report.

According to this report, the mobile money industry has showed a tremendous achievement reference to previous years with over a billion registered accounts, 372 million active accounts and close to $2 billion in daily transactions. In other words, we can say that mobile money has reached new heights in terms of digitization of payments.

Banking the Unbanked

Mobile Financial Services (MFS) are a natural part of the connected world. For the mature markets/countries they provide convenience, for the emerging countries they bring a possibility to make transactions where the financial infrastructure is weak or unreliable, providing” banking for the unbanked”.

A large portion of the population in Africa needs to be brought into the folds of financial inclusion in order to generate sustainable economic growth. The high cost of opening a bank and long distances to banks are among the barriers to gaining access to financial services for the unbanked in the country.

Additional challenges are related to lengthy queues, processing time, high service charges while receiving payments are also common. What’s more, the amount of time taken to process money transfers, the distance from the place of transacting for international transfers can be frustrating – as can long processing and waiting times during bill payment provide opportunities.

Ericsson reported more than 190 million registered users on its Wallet Platform with their monthly transactions surpassing 18 billion USD by the end of June 2020.

This is an indicator on how technology has enabled the connection needed between the financial industry and telecom to increase both the commercial and social benefits.

Reinventing Transactions in Africa

 Ericsson’s open, easy and accessible mobile money platform offers more choices–providing an advanced secure, flexible platform that help build an interconnected and transparent financial ecosystem. It has explicitly tailored to enable financial inclusion by providing easy-to-use and secure next-generation mobile financial services, specially to those who do not have access to traditional banking services.

With the goal to promote easy-to-use financial services in Africa, Ericsson collaborates with  leading telecom operators and  service providers to provide  OpenAPI software with platform across this continent as well as also in the Middle East.   An Open API platform will create a new type of ecosystem that is open for everyone to join to accelerate mobile financial services innovation and change the future of payments.

What is the best outcome of enabling this inclusion you may ask?

 Increasing financial inclusion through the use of digital technology is an essential element in furthering the economic development of Africa. In collaboration with various service providers, Ericsson aims to unlock access to a diverse payments ecosystem beyond the individual user’s reach.

When the access to safe and secure financial services is within reach, enhancement in energy, health, education and employment opportunities will follow.

-end-