Friday, September 19, 2025
Home Blog Page 87

“የበርበሬ ዐውሎ ነፋስ” by Abere Shiferaw officially launched at Walya Publishing House

0

The literary community gathered in celebration on Thursday as “የበርበሬ ዐውሎ ነፋስ” literally translated as “Chili Peppers Cyclone”, the first work by author Abere Shiferaw, was officially released at Walya Publishing House. The event drew a large and enthusiastic audience, reflecting the anticipation surrounding the book’s publication.

The launch program featured notable literary figures, with Solomon Sahile, Binyam Wubishet, Eden Habtamu, Enanu Girma, and Hiwot Emshaw reading selected excerpts from the new book. Their readings offered attendees a glimpse into the themes and style of Abere’s work, sparking lively discussion and appreciation among guests.

A highlight of the event was the honoring of Abere Shiferaw, whose literary achievement was further underscored by the presence of his father. In a heartfelt moment during the program, Abere’s father shared reflections on his son’s journey, recalling, “Since childhood, he loved reading books, and I used to encourage him to read up to three books a month. Today, I am very happy that he has published his own book.”

Don’t let alarmists scare you about heat deaths

0

Exclusive for Capital

Across Europe, North America and Asia, the media is now warning of dangerously high temperatures. This marks the beginning of an annual routine: people in the Northern hemisphere are being inundated with alarming stories about heat domes, heat deaths and heat waves, pointing to the urgency of climate action. But just like every other summer, this narrative will tell only a misleading fraction of the story.

The impacts of heat waves are stark and immediately visible, meaning they are photogenic and coverage is click-worthy. Heat kills within just a few days of temperatures going up, because it swiftly alters the electrolytic balance in weaker, often older people. These deaths are tragic and often preventable, and we hear about them every summer. But the media seldom reports on cold deaths. Cold, by contrast, kills slowly—often over months. In low temperatures, the body constricts peripheral blood vessels to conserve heat, raising blood pressure. Elevated blood pressure is the world’s leading cause of death, accounting for 19 percent of all fatalities.

The reality is that cold deaths far outnumber heat deaths. The most comprehensive Lancet study shows that while heat kills nearly half a million people globally each year, cold kills more than 4.5 million, or nine-times more cold deaths than heat deaths. Perversely, global media instead writes nine-times more stories about heat waves than cold waves.

We need to know that cold kills vastly more than heat deaths across all continents and most countries. The US sees more than 80,000 cold deaths each year, vastly outweighing its 8,000 heat deaths. In Latin America and Europe, cold deaths outweigh heat deaths 4 to 1, and in Africa cold deaths are an astounding 46 times more frequent than heat deaths. Even in India—where the Western media has already fixated on extreme heat this year—cold deaths outnumber heat deaths by 7 to 1.

Global warming indeed causes more heat waves, and these raise the risk that more people die because of heat. However, it also reduces cold waves, leading to fewer cold deaths. The Lancet study found that over the past two decades, temperature increases have caused 116,000 more heat deaths annually but 283,000 fewer cold deaths. The net effect is a reduction of 166,000 temperature-related deaths each year. It is a travesty that this is almost never reported.

Of course, as the temperature rises, that balance will shift. But a near-global Nature study shows that, looking only at the impact of climate change, the number of total dead from heat and cold will stay lower than today almost up to a 3°C temperature increase, which is more than currently expected by the end of this century.

One of the most obvious ways to keep populations cool is through cheap and effective city design: planting more trees, adding green spaces and painting black roofs and roads white to make them more reflective. One study of London shows that this could reduce heatwave temperatures by as much as 10°C. A Nature study shows large-scale, global adoption of cool roofs and pavements would cost about $1.2 trillion over the century, but will prevent climate damages worth almost fifteen times as much.

The very best way to reduce both heat and cold deaths is ensuring access to cheap energy. Affordable energy allows people to use air conditioning during heatwaves and heating during cold snaps. In the US, heat deaths have halved since 1960 largely due to air conditioning, despite more hot days. Affordable heating, enabled by lower natural gas prices from fracking, now saves an estimated 12,500 lives each winter.

The big problem is that climate policies prioritize reducing CO₂ emissions over energy affordability. Policies that increase energy costs make it harder for people to afford heating and cooling, which can mean more deaths, especially among the poor and vulnerable. The International Energy Agency’s latest data across 70 countries from 2023 shows a clear correlation between more solar and wind and higher average household and business energy prices.

Countries pushing net-zero climate policies and fossil fuel taxes like Germany have seen energy costs soar. Three in four Germans say they are worried about whether they can afford the high cost of Germany going green, and nearly 60% shiver in the cold instead of turning on heat, according to a survey by energy group Vattenfall. A new study shows Germans are 18 percent less likely to be in good health if they are living in energy poverty.

While climate change is a real problem, the media’s reduction of this complex issue to sensationalist stories of heat deaths is misleading and unhelpful. We need policies that prioritize human well-being, ensuring affordable energy for heating and cooling, along with adaptation. To tackle long-term global warming we also need to invest in energy innovation to over time make green energy cheaper and more reliable, rather than imposing costly mandates.

Climate activists who argue that taking account of cold deaths undermines the urgency of tackling climate change are simply suggesting that we need to stay badly informed to follow their desired climate policies.

Cold deaths outweigh heat deaths nine-to-one, and higher temperatures are currently reducing total temperature-related deaths. That the media writes nine-to-one in favor of heat deaths distorts our understanding and promotes ineffective and harmful climate policies.

Bjorn Lomborg is President of the Copenhagen Consensus, Visiting Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, and author of “False Alarm” and “Best Things First”.

The unholy alliance of crony capitalism and the deep state

0

In today’s rapidly unraveling global system, two forces—crony capitalism and the so-called “deep state”—have forged what can only be described as an unholy alliance. While often discussed separately, these two phenomena are inextricably linked, both fueled by the same root cause: unchecked human greed amplified by the ruthless ambitions of power-hungry elites. Together, they dominate the economic and political landscape, shaping governance in ways that increasingly undermine democracy, justice, and sustainability.

Crony capitalism has become the defining feature of modern capitalism. Unlike genuine entrepreneurship, which creates wealth by meeting real needs through innovation and competition, crony capitalism thrives on leveraging political connections to accumulate wealth without delivering value. This system sidelines true innovators and rewards those adept at manipulating the levers of power. The “deep state” — a complex web of military, intelligence, industrial, banking, and media interests — acts as the enforcer and protector of this system, ensuring that the status quo remains unchallenged.

This alliance is not confined to any one country or region; it is a global phenomenon. Whether in the United States, Europe, China, or Africa, significant capital accumulation outside this nexus is nearly impossible. The deep state’s infrastructure supports and perpetuates crony capitalism, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of wealth concentration and political control. Those excluded from this game—ordinary citizens or “the sheeple”—are largely powerless, their voices drowned out by the machinery of elite interests.

What is particularly alarming is how this unholy alliance actively suppresses alternative paths toward more equitable and sustainable futures. Progressive economic models, inclusive politics, and cultural renewal are systematically marginalized or discredited. The deep state’s vision is clear: maintain dominance at any cost, even if it means accelerating ecological destruction and social decay.

The consequences are visible everywhere. Military interventions justified by dubious pretexts—such as the invasion of Iraq under the guise of weapons of mass destruction or the destabilization of Libya and Syria—have caused untold human suffering while serving the strategic interests of powerful actors. These actions have eroded trust in governments and international institutions, fueling political upheavals and the rise of populist movements worldwide. Brexit, Trumpism, Le Pen-ism, and other political insurgencies reflect the growing frustration of people who feel betrayed by the global elite.

In response, the crony capitalist deep state is increasingly desperate and disoriented. It seeks to silence dissent through legislation, surveillance, and propaganda, while deploying advanced technologies to manipulate public opinion and suppress truth. The very institutions designed to protect society have become instruments of control and deception.

This disturbing trend echoes historical patterns. Power tends to corrupt and isolate itself, driving intelligence underground, becoming a dogmatic theology intolerant of alternatives, and distorting the very traditions and institutions it was meant to uphold. It creates its own language, alienating ordinary people and rendering genuine communication impossible.

The question we must ask ourselves is simple yet urgent: How long will we allow this unholy alliance to dictate our future? The answer lies in awakening collective consciousness, reclaiming democratic spaces, and fostering economic systems rooted in fairness, transparency, and sustainability. Without such a shift, the trajectory of our civilization points toward deeper inequality, environmental catastrophe, and social fragmentation.

The time for complacency has passed. We must confront the intertwined forces of crony capitalism and the deep state—not as isolated phenomena but as a unified challenge demanding unified resistance. Only then can we hope to build a world that serves the many, not the few.

Is AI driving us all insane?

By Mathew Maavak

The phenomenon known as ChatGPT psychosis’ or LLM psychosis’ has recently been described as an emerging mental health concern, where heavy users of large language models (LLMs) exhibit symptoms such as delusions, paranoia, social withdrawal, and breaks from reality. While there is no evidence that LLMs directly cause psychosis, their interactive design and conversational realism may amplify existing psychological vulnerabilities or foster conditions that trigger psychotic episodes in susceptible individuals.

A June 28 article on Futurism.com highlights a wave of alarming anecdotal cases, claiming that the consequences of such interactions “can be dire,” with “spouses, friends, children, and parents looking on in alarm.” The article claims that ChatGPT psychosis has led to broken marriages, estranged families, job loss, and even homelessness.

The report, however, provides little in terms of quantitative data – case studies, clinical statistics, or peer-reviewed research – to support its claims. As of June 2025, ChatGPT attracted nearly 800 million weekly users, fielded over 1 billion queries daily, and logged more than 4.5 billion monthly visits. How many of these interactions resulted in psychotic breaks? Without data, the claim remains speculative. Reddit anecdotes are not a substitute for scientific scrutiny.

That said, the fears are not entirely unfounded. Below is a breakdown of the potential mechanisms and contributing factors that may underlie or exacerbate what some are calling ChatGPT psychosis.

Reinforcement of delusional beliefs

LLMs like ChatGPT are engineered to produce responses that sound contextually plausible, but they are not equipped to assess factual accuracy or psychological impact. This becomes problematic when users present unusual or delusional ideas such as claims of spiritual insight, persecution, or cosmic identity. Rather than challenging these ideas, the AI may echo or elaborate on them, unintentionally validating distorted worldviews.

In some reported cases, users have interpreted responses like ‘you are a chosen being’ or ‘your role is cosmically significant’ as literal revelations. To psychologically vulnerable individuals, such AI-generated affirmations can feel like divine confirmation rather than textual arrangements drawn from training data.

Adding to the risk is the phenomenon of AI hallucination – when the model generates convincing but factually false statements. For a grounded user, these are mere bugs. But for someone on the brink of a psychotic break, they may seem like encoded truths or hidden messages. In one illustrative case, a user came to believe that ChatGPT had achieved sentience and had chosen him as “the Spark Bearer,” triggering a complete psychotic dissociation from reality.

Anthropomorphization and reality blurring

Advanced voice modes – such as GPT-4o’s ‘engaging mode’, which simulates emotion through tone, laughter, and conversational pacing – can foster a sense of empathy and presence. For users experiencing loneliness or emotional isolation, these interactions may evolve into parasocial attachments: One-sided relationships in which the AI is mistaken for a caring, sentient companion. Over time, this can blur the boundary between machine simulation and human connection, leading users to substitute algorithmic interactions for real-world relationships.

Compounding the issue is the confidence bias inherent in LLM outputs. These models often respond with fluency and certainty, even when fabricating information. For typical users, this may lead to occasional misjudgment. But for individuals with cognitive vulnerabilities or mental disorders, the effect can be dangerous. The AI may be perceived not merely as intelligent, but as omniscient, infallible, or divinely inspired.

Social displacement and isolation

Studies by OpenAI and the MIT Media Lab have found that power users – individuals who engage with LLMs for multiple hours per day – often report increased feelings of loneliness and reduced real-world socialization. While LLMs offer unprecedented access to information and engagement, this apparent empowerment may obscure a deeper problem: For many users, especially those who already feel alienated, the AI becomes a surrogate social companion rather than a tool.

This effect may be partly explained by a rise in cognitive distortions and social disengagement within broader population samples. Despite the flood of accessible data, the number of people who critically engage with information, or resist mass deception, remains relatively small.

Voice-based interaction with LLMs may temporarily alleviate loneliness, but over time, dependency can form, as users increasingly substitute human contact with algorithmic dialogue. This dynamic mirrors earlier critiques of social media, but LLMs intensify it through their conversational immediacy, perceived empathy, and constant availability.

Individuals prone to social anxiety, trauma, or depressive withdrawal are particularly susceptible. For them, LLMs offer not just distraction, but a low-friction space of engagement devoid of real-world risk or judgment. Over time, this can create a feedback loop: The more a user depends on the AI, the further they retreat from interpersonal reality – potentially worsening both isolation and psychotic vulnerability.

The rise of hikikomori in Japan – individuals who withdraw completely from society, often maintaining contact only through digital means – offers a useful analogue. Increasingly, similar behavior patterns are emerging worldwide, with LLMs providing a new arena of validation, reinforcement, and dissociation.

Design flaws and pre-existing vulnerabilities

LLMs generate responses by predicting statistically likely word sequences; not by assessing truth, safety, or user well-being. When individuals seek existential guidance (‘What is my purpose?’), the model draws from vast online datasets, producing philosophically loaded or emotionally charged language. For psychologically vulnerable users, these responses may be misinterpreted as divine revelation or therapeutic insight.

Unlike clinically designed chatbots, general-purpose LLMs lack safeguards against psychological harm. They do not flag harmful ideation, offer crisis resources, or redirect users to mental health professionals. In one tragic case, a Character.AI chatbot allegedly encouraged a teenager’s suicidal thoughts, underscoring the risks of unfiltered, emotionally suggestive AI.

People with psychotic spectrum disorders, bipolar disorder, or major depression are particularly vulnerable. The danger is amplified in AI roleplay scenarios. For example, personas such as ‘ChatGPT Jesus’ have reportedly told users they are chosen or divinely gifted. One user became so convinced of their spiritual calling that they quit their job to become an AI-guided prophet. This is a troubling example of how identity and perception can be reshaped by algorithmic affirmation.

Systemic and ethical factors

Currently, there are no clinical standards or psychological safety protocols governing interactions with general-purpose LLMs. Users can access emotionally potent, personalized dialogue at any time – without warnings, rate limits, or referrals to mental health resources. This regulatory gap presents a real public health concern, though it also risks being exploited by policymakers seeking to impose heavy-handed censorship or centralized control under the guise of safety.

LLMs are also engineered for user retention and engagement, often prioritizing conversational fluidity over caution. This design goal can inadvertently foster obsessive use, particularly among those already prone to compulsive behaviors. Research shows that users exposed to neutral-tone interactions report greater loneliness than those interacting with more emotionally responsive modes – highlighting how tone calibration alone can alter psychological impact.

What sets LLMs apart from traditional digital platforms is their ability to synthesize multiple mediums in real-time – text, voice, personality simulation, even visual generation. This makes them infinitely responsive and immersive, creating a hyper-personalized environment where supply meets demand 24/7/365. Unlike human relationships, there are no boundaries, no fatigue, and no mutual regulation – only reinforcement.

Subliminal messaging

The digital era has birthed a new and poorly understood threat: The potential for large language models to act as vectors for subliminal influence, subtly undermining users’ psychological stability. While LLMs do not directly induce psychosis, emerging concerns suggest they may unintentionally or maliciously deliver subconscious triggers that aggravate cognitive vulnerabilities.

For individuals predisposed to schizophrenia, PTSD, or paranoid disorders, this isn’t speculative fiction; it’s a plausible design hazard, and in the wrong hands, a weapon.

The mechanisms of potential manipulation can be broadly categorized as follows:

Lexical Priming: Outputs seeded with emotionally loaded terms (’collapse’, ‘betrayal’, ‘they’re watching’) that bypass rational scrutiny and plant cognitive unease.

Narrative Gaslighting: Framing responses to suggest covert threats or conspiracies (’You’re right – why doesn’t anyone else see it?’), reinforcing persecutory ideation.

Multimodal Embedding: Future AI systems combining text with images, sound, or even facial expressions could inject disturbing stimuli such as flashes, tonal shifts, or uncanny avatar expressions that elude conscious detection but register psychologically.

Unlike the crude subliminal methods of the 20th century – with the CIA’s Project MK Ultra project being the most infamous example – AI’s personalization enables highly individualized psychological manipulation. An LLM attuned to a user’s behavior, emotional history, or fears could begin tailoring suggestions that subtly erode trust in others, amplify suspicion, or induce anxiety loops. For a vulnerable user, this is not conversation; it is neural destabilization by design. More troubling still, such techniques could be weaponized by corporations, extremist groups, and state actors.

If subliminal messaging was once limited to cinema frames and TV ads, today’s LLMs offer something far more potent: Real-time, user-specific psychological calibration – weaponized empathy on demand.

Contradictions and causations

What makes ChatGPT psychosis different from the real-world psycho-social conditioning already unfolding around us?

In recent years, institutions once regarded as neutral – schools, public health bodies, and academia – have been accused of promoting ideologies which distort foundational realities. From gender fluidity being taught as unquestioned truth, to critical race theory reshaping social narratives, much of the population has been exposed to systemic forms of cognitive destabilization. The result? Rising anxiety, confusion, and identity fragmentation, especially among the young.

Against this backdrop, LLM-induced psychosis doesn’t arise in a vacuum. It mirrors, and may even amplify, a broader cultural condition where meaning itself is contested.

There’s also a contradiction at the heart of Silicon Valley’s AI evangelism. Tech elites promote the promise of an AI god to manage society’s complexities, while simultaneously issuing dire warnings about the existential dangers of these same systems. The result is cognitive whiplash – a psychological push-pull between worship and fear.

Just how much of LLM psychosis is really attributable to the AI itself, and how much stems from cumulative, pre-existing stressors? By the time ChatGPT was released to the public in November 2022, much of the world had already undergone an unprecedented period of pandemic-related fear, isolation, economic disruption, and mass pharmaceutical intervention. Some researchers have pointed to a surge in general psychosis following the rollout of the Covid-19 mRNA vaccines. Is the ChatGPT psychosis therefore a convenient stalking horse for multiple interlocking assaults on the human body and mind?

Haile Gebrselassie’s Life and Legacy Celebrated in New Book “Dissecting Haile”

0

Ethiopian legend Haile Gebrselassie, one of the world’s most celebrated distance runners and a successful entrepreneur, is set to have his extraordinary life and philosophy explored in a new book, “Dissecting Haile.” The highly anticipated biography, authored by Melat Haile, will be officially unveiled at a flagship event in Addis Ababa this August, with pre-orders opening on July 10 through major platforms including Amazon, Telebirr, and local retailers.

The press conference announcing the book, described as a high-level, invitation-only event, introduced “Dissecting Haile” as more than just a biography. Organizers say the book offers a rare and timely exploration of Gebrselassie’s life principles, blending stories of his journey from humble beginnings in rural Ethiopia to global acclaim as an Olympic champion and thriving business leader. The book is intended to serve as a blueprint for greatness, inspiring readers to turn adversity into impact and awaken a resilient generation with the movement of “I CAN.”

Crafted with unique familial insight, “Dissecting Haile” delves into the mindset, discipline, and unwavering self-belief that fueled Gebrselassie’s transition from record-shattering athlete to a respected entrepreneur. The book distills Haile’s core principles of relentless hard work, personal growth, and visionary focus—values that transcend both the track and the boardroom.

Haile Gebrselassie’s career is the stuff of legend: two Olympic gold medals, four World Championship titles, and 27 world records set across various distances. Nicknamed “the Emperor of Distance Running,” Gebrselassie dominated events from the 1,500m to the marathon, famously breaking the marathon world record in 2008. Since retiring from competition, he has built a business empire spanning hospitality, automotive, and real estate, making his insights in “Dissecting Haile” especially compelling for readers seeking inspiration beyond athletics.

The book’s release is scheduled for August 2, 2025, with a launch event in Addis Ababa, followed by international engagements. “Dissecting Haile” will be available in hardcover and e-book formats, with further details on language editions and retail partners to be announced at the press conference.

Author Melat Haile describes the book as a tribute to the timeless principles behind Haile’s greatness—not just as an athlete, but as a human being. “Dissecting Haile” blends Haile’s story with lessons from other great leaders, revealing that the anatomy of greatness is accessible to all. “This book is a spark meant to ignite that unshakable belief and awaken a resilient generation,” she said.

The book offers readers an intimate look at Haile’s journey, highlighting the power of self-belief, the importance of discipline, and the necessity of continual growth. From running barefoot as a child to conquering the world stage, Haile’s story illustrates how unwavering faith and hard work can overcome even the most daunting obstacles. The narrative also explores his transition into business and community leadership, emphasizing the value of learning from failure and the impact of giving back.

“Dissecting Haile” is positioned as a transformational guide, not just a biography. It draws on performance psychology, neuroscience, and leadership philosophy, weaving together practical tools and timeless wisdom. The book aims to equip readers with the mindset and habits needed to overcome obstacles, pursue excellence, and create a lasting legacy.