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CBE reports 15 trillion birr in digital transactions, launches co-branded Visa card with Ethiopian Airlines

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The Commercial Bank of Ethiopia says its digital banking channels processed 15 trillion birr in transactions over the past 11 months, with digital platforms now accounting for 78 percent of the bank’s total transaction activity.

The announcement came during the launch of a new co-branded Visa prepaid card developed with Ethiopian Airlines and Visa International, a partnership the bank says builds on 25 years of cooperation. The card was unveiled on 4 June 2026 at the Skylight Hotel.

The new product links overseas spending to Ethiopian Airlines’ ShebaMiles loyalty program, allowing cardholders to earn miles on foreign purchases. Under the scheme, customers will receive one mile for every $4 spent through point-of-sale terminals or e-commerce platforms abroad.

Bank officials said the card is designed to make international payments easier for Ethiopian travelers while creating a direct connection between spending and travel rewards. ShebaMiles members previously accumulated points mainly through flights, but the new card extends that benefit to shopping and other eligible purchases abroad.

Bilen Hailemichael, director of merchant and agent management at CBE’s digital banking division, said the bank now has 11 million active mobile banking users, 18 million customers registered on the CBE Birr mobile money service, 157,000 registered merchants and 457,000 internet banking users.

Despite maintaining a large physical network of 1,917 branches, 3,949 ATMs and 4,400 point-of-sale terminals, the bank said its growth is increasingly being driven by digital services. CBE also says it serves more than 46 million customers overall and has 16 million domestic cardholders.

Ephrem Mekuria, executive vice president for corporate services at CBE, said the bank is working to meet customer needs by introducing innovative digital products and services.

Lemma Yadecha, chief commercial officer of Ethiopian Airlines Group, said the new card reflects a strategic partnership between two of Ethiopia’s leading brands. He said the airline sees the product as an important tool for serving its more than 1.5 million ShebaMiles members worldwide by combining aviation, banking and international payment services.

UAE eyes deeper trade and investment ties with Africa

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In this written interview with Capital, Dr. Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of Foreign Trade, outlines the steady expansion of UAE-Africa economic relations and the growing importance of Ethiopia within that partnership. He points to logistics, infrastructure, clean energy, agriculture and long-term regulatory certainty as the main pillars behind the continued momentum. The minister also highlights major UAE-backed investments already underway in Ethiopia, arguing that the relationship is now deeper, more diversified and more resilient than ever before. Excerpts:

Capital: UAE–Africa trade has shown strong resilience in recent years despite global market disruptions. What are the main factors behind this continued momentum?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: The main factor is sustained investment in logistics, infrastructure, and trade facilitation across the continent. DP World now operates six African ports, each with major capacity expansion and modernization projects, while AD Ports Group has expanded its footprint into Guinea, Egypt, and Angola. In parallel, the UAE has been the continent’s largest source of new FDI, investing US$110 billion across Africa between 2019 and 2024, with US$72 billion directed toward renewable energy alone. When trade relationships are supported by this scale of physical infrastructure and capital commitment, they develop a strong degree of resilience.

Capital: How would you assess the current state of UAE–Africa trade and investment relations, and where do you see the biggest opportunities for further growth? And for Ethiopia specifically, what role do you see the UAE playing in supporting trade flows, investment, and broader economic cooperation?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: The state of UAE-Africa relations is the strongest it has ever been. Ethiopia is a powerful illustration: bilateral non-oil trade surged threefold to US$6.2 billion in 2025. AMEA Power is investing US$620 million in the Aysha-1 wind project in Ethiopia’s Somali region, the largest wind farm in the Horn of Africa, generating 1,400 GWh annually. Eagle Hills is developing La Gare, a US$2 billion mixed-use project in Addis Ababa that will deliver over 4,000 residences. Dubai International Chamber maintains a representative office in Addis Ababa. The opportunities in Ethiopia are substantial: clean energy, agriculture, logistics, real estate, and manufacturing.

Capital: Supply chain stability has become a major concern globally. How has the UAE worked to ensure continuity and reliability across its trade corridors with Africa?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: The UAE has invested in a distributed logistics model: multiple ports, multiple modes, and multiple corridors, ensuring no single chokepoint can significantly disrupt connectivity. Our position on the Strait of Hormuz has been clear at every level of government – it is a natural passage governed by the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, and its weaponization cannot stand. We have activated east-coast ports at Fujairah and Khor Fakkan, which sit outside the Strait, while utilizing Etihad Rail’s 900km freight network alongside overland Green Corridors with regional partners. DP World’s six-port African network further supports the resilience of these trade corridors.

Capital: Beyond trade in goods, UAE investments are expanding across sectors such as logistics, energy, agriculture, finance, and infrastructure. Which sectors do you see as most strategic for the next phase of UAE–Africa cooperation?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: Clean energy is arguably the most transformative sector for the next phase of UAE–Africa cooperation. At COP28, the UAE announced an AED 4.5 billion initiative targeting 15GW of clean energy capacity across Africa by 2030. In Ethiopia, AMEA Power’s US$620 million Aysha-1 wind project is set to become the largest wind farm in the Horn of Africa. Logistics and port infrastructure also remain central to long-term economic integration: DP World has invested more than US$6 billion in African ports since 2010, with a further US$3 billion planned. Digital infrastructure is another emerging frontier: G42 and Microsoft are partnering on a US$1 billion geothermal-powered data centre project in Kenya that will help position East Africa as a growing technology hub.

Capital: Many African economies are looking for long-term, predictable partners. How is the UAE positioning itself as a reliable and forward-looking economic partner on the continent?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: The UAE is positioning itself as a reliable and forward-looking partner through long-term investments and partnerships designed to create lasting economic value. Our investments in Ethiopia reflect that approach: AMEA Power’s wind farm will deliver sustainable energy for decades, while Eagle Hills’ La Gare project is helping reshape Addis Ababa’s urban landscape through long-term infrastructure and real estate development. DP World’s port concessions across Africa are similarly structured around multi-decade commitments. The UAE’s non-oil trade exceeded US$1 trillion in 2025, up 27% year on year, reflecting an economic model built for sustained growth. Dubai International Chamber also maintains offices across Africa, including in Addis Ababa, providing on-the-ground support that makes partnerships tangible and operational.

Capital: What policy or regulatory reforms would help deepen UAE–Africa investment ties and make the business environment even more attractive for both sides?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: Expanding our network of Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements is one priority. We have already concluded 10 agreements with nations across Africa and, once fully implemented, they will help enhance mutual trade flows, reduce barriers to trade, harmonize customs procedures and create platforms for investment and SME collaboration. More broadly, stronger and more predictable regulatory frameworks will be essential to deepening investment ties — not only for attracting FDI, but also for mobilizing domestic capital within African markets. Institutional trust is critical if private-sector investors are to deploy capital at scale.

Capital: Looking ahead, what is your vision for the future of UAE–Africa trade relations over the next five to ten years, and what milestones would you like to see achieved?

Thani bin Ahmed Al Zeyoudi: Africa is a continent of extraordinary importance to the global economy, with two-thirds of the world’s arable land, a growing middle class, and resources that can support the global energy transition. Over the next decade, we want to see UAE investment continue to flow into the energy, infrastructure, agriculture, and digital sectors that create jobs and build industrial capacity. Ethiopia’s trajectory clearly illustrates this potential: bilateral trade has grown from US$784 million in 2019 to US$6.2 billion in 2025. Looking ahead, we hope to see landmark projects such as AMEA Power’s Aysha wind farm and Eagle Hills’ La Gare fully realized, while continuing to expand investment into sectors that support Ethiopia’s long-term economic growth and industrial development.

Forex reform raises questions over banks’ readiness

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In a sweeping structural shift described by financial experts as “earthshaking,” Ethiopia’s central bank has delegated approval authority for Letters of Credit (LC) and Cash Against Documents (CAD) to commercial banks — a reform aimed at slashing bureaucracy and narrowing the gap between legal and parallel foreign exchange markets.

As part of broader structural changes aimed at liberalizing and modernizing the economy, the Ethiopian government continues to introduce sweeping reforms to rules and directives. On one hand, these changes target the financial sector; on the other, they aim to curb the illegal foreign exchange market and narrow the gap between the parallel and legal markets.

While some sector experts argue that commercial banks face limitations in implementing such massive changes, the central bank maintains that operational capacity is a strength of the banks themselves — not just the regulatory body.

As part of the financial sector and forex reform, the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) has taken bold decisions regarding the approval of LC and CAD, among other major moves in the forex market.

In a statement released midweek, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) noted that further efforts to enhance the functioning and transparency of the foreign exchange market will be important to support external adjustment.

The new NBE directive, FXD/05/2026, streamlines trade by delegating approval authority for LCs and CAD to commercial banks. It also allows foreign currency account holders to initiate shipments before bank approval and expedites payment processing, amending previous regulations to ease business operations.

Financial sector experts say this move — along with the introduction of a Franco-Valuta import directive — is key to tackling the parallel market trend while modernizing and creating a more functional forex business environment.

The new directive, they agree, helps remove procedural frictions that constrain the speed, cost and predictability of international trade for Ethiopian businesses.

Under the amended rules, commercial banks now hold the authority to approve import credit instruments — a mandate previously reserved for the central bank, which had long justified its control as essential for predictable resource utilization.

In an analysis published late last week, Eshetu Fantaye — a veteran financial professional with over 30 years of experience, including roles as president and vice president of financial institutions — explained the directive’s core economic effect on domestic prices.

According to Eshetu, FXD/05/2026 compresses procurement cycles. By removing NBE pre-approval delays and enabling pre-shipment ordering under Articles 3.3 and 3.4, the directive shortens the time between an importer’s purchase decision and the arrival of goods. This leads to faster replenishment of inventories, reducing supply gaps that drive up domestic prices when restocking is delayed.

The directive also contributes to foreign exchange market convergence through several channels. On the demand side, by making the formal banking channel faster and more operationally competitive with informal alternatives, it increases the share of import-related forex demand flowing through the formal banking system.

On the supply side, pre-shipment ordering flexibility enables export-oriented special economic zones (SEZs), manufacturers and agro-processors to cycle their retention account balances more rapidly — procuring inputs faster and exporting more quickly.

Eshetu noted that the reform sequence demonstrates a deliberate macro-to-micro progression. First, market pricing was established (FXD/01/2024). Next, investment categories (SEZ, wholesale/retail, banking) were opened, followed by the removal of income repatriation friction (FXD/04/2026). Finally, transaction-level processing delays are eliminated (FXD/05/2026). “Each measure is necessary but insufficient on its own; together, they form mutually reinforcing liberalization architecture,” he said.

Unlike a sight LC, which provides for immediate payment, acceptance-based LCs create a pipeline of forward foreign exchange obligations.

Experts such as Eshetu note that deferred imports could create unpredictable pressure on reserves, which is why the central bank believes it alone has the capacity to manage reserves at the macro level. They say this belief was the reason the central bank previously controlled LC acceptance.

However, some financial industry experts have reservations about local banks’ ability to handle their new responsibilities.

They insist the regulatory body must play its part to harmonize the liberalization process with a professional and effective response from the banks themselves.

According to experts, the new move essentially transfers risk to the banks. The key question is whether financial firms have the capacity to manage it.

Eshetu told Capital last week that banks need internal capacity in processes, screening, exposure management, document verification, regulatory reporting and human capital development.

In the past, the NBE took considerable time to process approvals; now that responsibility shifts to commercial banks, which previously only handled the administrative side when the NBE approved LCs or CAD on acceptance.

Eshetu explained that these credit instruments will now be managed by commercial banks, requiring complex internal administrative capacity not only for their direct customers, but also for their customers’ counterparties abroad.

Experts said the new law increases risks for banks. “They must conduct cross-platform assessments of the profiles of overseas counterparties, since they are now responsible for trade finance administration and approvals,” they said.

Eshetu stressed that banks are also responsible for anti-money laundering and sanctions screening, as well as managing exposure from deferred LCs and verifying end-to-end documentation previously handled by the NBE.

Through these three instruments, the central bank has pushed approval, management and risk mitigation responsibilities onto commercial banks.

According to experts, while this could generate additional income for banks, recent experience suggests the risks are real.

Insiders claim that several banks were affected by unsettled LCs when the NBE introduced forex liberalization about two years ago. Unless banks build strong internal capacity, the effect of the new deferred LC scheme could be severe.

Experts recalled that in the past, the NBE did not accept deferred LCs except for government imports or related sectors.

“It was unwilling to approve deferred LCs regardless of coverage. If it had allowed traders to use deferred LCs or CAD, they could have imported goods — particularly basic commodities — that would stabilize the market,” experts said.

According to Eshetu, if banks develop internal capacity, manage their local and foreign currency liquidity smoothly and work effectively with the deferred scheme, the market will undergo structural change.

“This is the basic difference between the Ethiopian and Kenyan markets in terms of commodity availability and inflation management at the macro level,” he said, adding that CAD or LC acceptance and pre-shipment provide a major advantage: ordering goods when prices drop, while enabling predictable price control and management.

Sector experts, including senior IDB directors, agreed that such schemes are particularly helpful for basic commodities, supporting not only speculation reduction but also price stability.

Experts stress that FXD/05/2026 does not reduce the total quantum of risk in Ethiopia’s trade finance system — it redistributes it.

In his analysis published late last week, Eshetu outlined four pillars banks must build to absorb the new responsibility: pre-approval credit and compliance underwriting, document verification, portfolio-level deferred FX liability management and post-transaction monitoring.

He argued these pillars help analyze importer creditworthiness, FX generation capacity, sanctions screening, trade document checking, real-time open acceptance registers, maturity concentration limits, periodic NBE reporting, anomaly detection, recovery procedures and correspondent bank feedback loops.

He emphasized that a banking system which previously operated under the protection of centralized NBE oversight must now perform those oversight functions itself.

This transition creates a window of vulnerability — approximately one to 24 months — during which banks will operate under delegated authority without the systems or trained staff required for international standards. “This window is the single greatest risk in the FXD/05/2026 implementation landscape,” he said.

Currently, most Ethiopian commercial banks process LCs manually or via basic core banking modules not designed for trade finance. While SWIFT connectivity is available at major banks — including CBE, Awash, Dashen, Abyssinia, United and Nib International — sophisticated trade finance platforms are either absent or in early development, according to experts.

Full deployment at large commercial banks is estimated at 12 to 18 months; for mid-tier banks, 24 to 36 months. “This makes the current moment urgent,” Eshetu said. “Banks that do not begin immediately will be operating the new delegated authority on manual, error-prone processes for one to three years, precisely when the highest-value trade finance clients are arriving in Ethiopia’s newly liberalized market.”

According to experts, it is worth recalling that the retail and wholesale trade sectors have been opened to international players, who are expected to operate on deferred payment schemes common in their home countries. The same applies to SEZs.

Currently, the central bank allows the scheme for foreign currency account holders and encourages traders — including small-scale operators — to engage in re-export.

Experts said that businesses that export goods from their industry can benefit by importing raw materials on time, generating foreign currency from products made with those materials.

Experts in investment banking and development banking say the new directive will also allow local producers to offer competitive prices on global markets. Moreover, it will build trust and boost investor confidence by stimulating the market, according to experts who recalled the NBE has recently relaxed dividend repatriation rules and allowed foreign financial players to operate in Ethiopia.

Experts, including investment banking directors interviewed by Capital, say the new scheme will help curb informal trade and reduce the illegal forex market.

Eshetu agrees, adding that the gap between legal and illegal forex markets would narrow to an acceptable level from the current estimated 19 percent.

Some experts believe that fees and charges requested by banks will become reasonable. Eshetu argues, however, that the directive’s impact on costs will be minor; correspondent banking relationships and local interest rates remain the key determinants.

He noted that the government should help improve correspondent banking relationships, as third-tier banks face much higher costs than first-tier banks. Ultimately, export growth and other means of forex mobilization must be amplified, and banks must change their structural position.

Capacity building and the central bank’s view

Experts say that in the past, policy focused on issuing price directives — adjusting interest rates and opening the forex market. Now, the task is to translate those directives into processes. These laws are execution frameworks handed to commercial banks. The question is whether they will take time to become effective.

In his analysis titled “Two Pages, Transformative Implications: Translating Foreign Exchange Directive FXD/05/2026,” Eshetu argued that the central bank should play a key role in capacity building for banks.

He told Capital that while capacity building is ultimately banks’ responsibility, when the NBE issues such earthshaking and structural shift laws, it should also provide a transition design to help financial institutions develop capacity plans to handle the new operational changes.

According to experts, this directive is a remarkable law that demands knowledge of treasury and finance. “Currently, we don’t have treasury management knowledge,” they said.

Eshetu elaborated: “We were working on fund management and treasury operation only when we had foreign currency. But now customers will come with the concept of importing goods now through open credit or pre-shipment, selling them in the market, and later paying by buying foreign currency from the market.”

Fikadu Digafe, vice governor and chief economist at the NBE, disagreed that banks need a fundamentally different type of capacity.

“They only need risk management capacity for risky areas. Some banks have been established for a very long time and have better capacity and know-how than the regulatory body,” he said. “Our main target for issuing this directive is to cut bureaucracy and minimize unnecessary costs.”

He added that banks requiring stringent capacity will build it themselves; the latest development does not require NBE involvement to push banks to improve their capability.

He noted that the central bank regularly meets bank executives, providing a forum for concerns. “For instance, we met yesterday, but such concerns were not raised. However, if necessary, we will cover them,” he told Capital on May 29, 2026.

Some experts claim that international partners like the IMF and the World Bank are only working with the government to enhance internal capacity at regulatory bodies. Such support, they argue, should also be extended to local private players — especially financial institutions — since they are the core implementers of radical macroeconomic and financial sector reforms.

In an exclusive interview with Capital in April at his Washington, D.C., office, Alvaro Piris, IMF Assistant Director for the African Department and Mission Chief for Ethiopia, said: “We do not provide technical assistance directly to the private sector. That said, we can help indirectly: if the authorities wish to provide training or organize a seminar for a private sector audience, we can assist them in preparing for that. So we can help in that manner, but we do not provide direct assistance to private entities.”

Fikadu reiterated that the central bank’s goal is to develop the market further and place it on a formal footing.

“We are now working to lift restrictions, give confidence to the business community and minimize processing time. At the same time, banks are expected to modernize their processes, distribute foreign currency fairly, reduce bureaucracy and build trust in the formal sector. Our main target is to smash informal business activity.”

According to Kassahun Mamo, deputy secretary general for business development and advocacy at the Addis Ababa Chamber of Commerce and Sectoral Associations, Ethiopia’s heavy reliance on imported goods has led to a sharp rise in landed import prices.

“Businesses are struggling to absorb these costs, fueling broader inflation, with SMEs hit hardest due to limited financial buffers,” he said.

Kassahun, a former part-time lecturer in economics at Addis Ababa University, told Capital that such moves will support imports and economic activity in general.

“High exchange rate volatility makes it incredibly difficult for businesses to set stable retail prices, manage inventory or make long-term investments because replacement costs change so rapidly,” the deputy head of the private sector lobby group added.

UNCTAD warns Africa could face a costly oil shock from Hormuz disruptions

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Africa is among the regions most exposed to the fallout from disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development warning that higher oil prices could deepen inflation, strain budgets and hit vulnerable economies hard. The warning is especially relevant for African least developed countries and small island developing states that depend heavily on imported fuel.

UNCTAD said 65 of 75 vulnerable economies it examined are net importers of oil, and 983 million people live in those economies. More than 30 percent of them live below the extreme poverty line of 3 dollars a day, making any increase in fuel costs a direct threat to already fragile household budgets.

The report said vulnerable economies mainly import refined oil products rather than crude, because many lack sufficient refining capacity. In 2024, refined products accounted for 97.8 percent of net oil imports in the group of oil-importing vulnerable economies, leaving them highly exposed to price spikes.

UNCTAD warned that a 50 percent rise in oil prices could raise the annual oil import bill of vulnerable economies by 20.4 billion dollars, including 16.1 billion dollars for least developed countries and 4.3 billion dollars for small island developing states. For countries already struggling with debt, food insecurity and weak fiscal buffers, that bill would force hard trade-offs between fuel subsidies, public services and long-term investment.

Several African countries would be hit especially hard. UNCTAD’s table shows that among least developed countries, Mauritania could see an import bill increase equal to 7.3 percent of GDP, while Gambia would face 6.3 percent and Burkina Faso 5.0 percent. Liberia, Zambia, Lesotho and Mali also rank high on the list of economies with large import bill increases.

The report also flags African states that rely heavily on oil sourced from the Hormuz region. Uganda sources 61.5 percent of its oil imports from the area, Mauritius 58.3 percent, the United Republic of Tanzania 56.0 percent and Zambia 44.7 percent. Other African economies listed include Mauritania, Mozambique, Malawi, Senegal, Cabo Verde, Togo and Benin.

UNCTAD said the consequences would extend beyond higher fuel bills. Rising oil prices push up freight and transport costs, feed broader inflation and can weaken exchange rates and growth. For governments with limited fiscal room, the shock can also widen current account deficits and increase pressure on public finances.

The agency said the situation shows how geopolitical disruptions in one corridor can quickly become a development crisis for the world’s poorest economies. In its warning, UN Secretary-General António Guterres said that when the Strait of Hormuz is strangled, the world’s poorest and most vulnerable cannot breathe.